As 2006 dawns, Asia finds numerous struggles marching onward without much expectation of resolution. Religion seems to be the preeminent motivating factor across the region, yet numerous ethnic …
2006 Projections for the Conflict Zones
Iraq The future ferocity and durability of Iraq?s ongoing insurgency, its national cohesion and stability, and its overall renaissance center on the following key drivers: (1) the degree of …
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2006 Projections on the Evolution of Al-Qaeda
Since the terrorist attacks of 9/11/2001 , al Qaeda the organization has evolved into a global jihadist movement from the more discrete terrorist vanguard network and operational and support corps of …
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2006 Projections for Iran
The US? foreign policy toward the Middle East and South West Asia region is predicated on three main issues: (1) preventing the spread of nuclear weapons, (2) dismantling terrorist organizations, …
2006 Predictions for Islamist Terrorism in Europe
The al Qaeda evolution (see this WAR Report) and the phenomenon of emergent, homegrown ?vanguard outpost? seems to present a particular near-term threat in relation to Europe's aggrieved, alienated, …
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2006 Projections for Israel/Palestinian Territories
Forward (Kadima), the Future (Al-Mustaqbal) and Chaos Elections and chaos are the two central themes for Israel and Palestine for 2006. 2005 ended with the typical chaos that has plagued the Middle …
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2006 Projections for Latin America
Colombia The administration of President Alvero Uribe has had a particularly successful year in curtailing the activities of the right-wing paramilitary group, the AUC , and the lesser left-wing …
2006 Projections for Middle East/North Africa
Egypt In spite of tentative steps toward a multi-party, more democratic system, the Egyptian government is entering the new year on tenuous ground with its largest benefactor, the United States . …
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2006 Projections for Russia
In the WAR Report reflections on 2004 and projections for 2005 (WAR Report), Russia was undergoing political, economic, and security flux. A wave of spectacular terrorist attacks that peaked in the …
2006 Projections for Western Europe
Italy The security climate in the lead-up to the XX Winter Olympics in Turin, Italy , from February 10-26, should be focused less on the threat of radical Islam or even on indigenous terrorism, and …