We take a look at the recently released Federal Reserve Board 2024 bank stress test scenarios, with an eye towards just how sensitive the stress tests are to disruptions and uncertainties created by …
OODA Almanac 2024 – Reorientation
The year 2024 will require a reorientation to new realities, largely driven by the acceleration of disruptive technologies grinding against the inertia of stale institutions that would rather we snack …
The Inaugural U.S. National Defense Industrial Strategy
The first-ever National Defense Industrial Strategy (NDIS) was released last week by The United States Department of Defense (DoD). THE NDIS "offers a strategic vision to coordinate and prioritize …
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Does the U.S. Have a “Talent Superpower Strategy”?
China has articulated a "Talent Superpower Strategy." But does the U.S.have an equivalent workforce and talent strategy for educating, training, attracting and retaining the talent required for …
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2023 Year-end Review: Geopolitical Risk and Technology
Polycrisis: A cluster of interdependent global risks create a compounding effect, such that their overall impact exceeds the sum of their individual parts. (1) In this era of global polycrisis, …
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New Genetic Frontiers
There have been groundbreaking advancements in genetic engineering and new medical technologies are poised to disrupt the dialogue on health, ethics, global security, and the future of humanity. We …
The Future of the Climate Crisis: Recent Impacts and Promising Innovation Strategies
While cyberwars may continue to take center stage in the global polycrisis, the climate crisis holds pole position, arguably only threatened in its existential threat dominance by negative …
Cyber War: Power, Prestige, International Governance, and Strategy in the Age of Global Polycrisis
Competing cyber capabilities (on a spectrum from nation-state to non-state actors alike) and cyber-based conflict will continue to restructructure, reformulate, discombobulate, and transform the very …
Globalization Transformed and the Global Computer Chip IT Supply Chain Disruption
Further jagged transitions, strategies, binaries fractures, major developments, and crucial events are compiled here as globalization is transformed and The Global Computer Chip IT Supply Chain …
Geopolitical Futures: The Americas, The Northern Frontier of Mexico, The Arctic, and Africa
In this era of global polycrisis, leaders are also reacting to the major macro economic trend of the last thirty years – the fundamental driver of the tetonic shifts in geopolitics and deep inside the …