The AI Futures Project’s “AI 2027” paints a detailed and unsettling forecast for the arrival of artificial superintelligence by the end of the decade. Co-authored by AI forecasters - including ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott ...
Analysis
Emerging technologies like generative AI and machine learning are transforming traditional conflict simulation and peacebuilding processes. By integrating these tools into wargaming and war termination modeling, analysts can generate more inclusive, cost-effective, and dynamic scenarios—reshaping ...
Analysis
In an era defined by chaotic signals and unprecedented volatility, Steven Weber’s "Scenario Planning Amid Radical Uncertainty" (MIT Sloan Management Review, July 2025) urges decision-makers to abandon false certainty and embrace expansive scenario planning. His ...
Analysis
The Secure World Foundation’s 2025 report on global counterspace capabilities reveals a rapidly escalating arms race in orbit, with 12 nations actively developing technologies to disrupt or destroy satellites. This comes as the U.S. accelerates ...
Analysis
AI-bio convergence is emerging as a geopolitical race akin to nuclear or semiconductor competition, with strategic implications for national security and the economy. At the recent SCSP AI+ Expo for National Competitiveness, leading ...
Analysis
In a recent seminar at the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, Alex Tamkin of Anthropic presented findings from an analysis of over four million Claude conversations to reveal how AI is currently used in real-world economic ...
Analysis
The global pandemic, supply chain shocks, and a geopolitical shift from East-West to North-South axes are fueling a new era of regionalism, manufacturing reshoring, and defense-driven tech innovation. This moment marks the evolution of our ...
Analysis
A recent OODA Network monthly meeting underscored the strategic convergence of AI, quantum, and autonomous defense systems, driving both opportunity and risk. Adversarial AI defenses has emerged as a vital area of interest: ...
Analysis
The Trump Administration’s Executive Order 14306 marks a strategic pivot in U.S. cybersecurity policy, reducing federal cybersecurity responsibilities in favor of private sector autonomy and amending prior Biden and Obama initiatives focused on centralizing cybersecurity ...
Analysis
The U.S. is accelerating investment in hypersonic weapons to maintain strategic military advantage amid increasing capabilities from Russia and China. These systems offer unique speed and maneuverability, but raise questions about strategic stability, deterrence, and ...
Analysis