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In this engaging session, two long term members of the OODA Network, Jen Hoar and Johnny Sawyer, explored the evolving global threat landscape, offering insights tailored for executives and corporate board members. The discussion opened with a timely focus on the transition to a new Trump presidency and what that transition may look like (he has been through six of those). Johnny highlighted both the risks and opportunities such a shift could present, emphasizing the importance of addressing narratives about “America in decline” and preparing for policy shifts that could reshape alliances, trade, and national security dynamics. The panel stressed the need for corporate leaders to proactively anticipate changes in global power structures and economic realignments.
Johnny emphasized the ongoing transition into a multipolar world driven by the information technology age. This shift has accelerated trends like regionalization, with businesses reshoring supply chains to secure access to critical components. He advised companies to view this realignment as both an opportunity and a risk, particularly for industries like renewable energy, cybersecurity, and technology manufacturing. However, regionalization also brings challenges such as increased cyber threats, regulatory complexities, and the need to build alliances to share information securely.
The session also addressed the rise of “super-empowered individuals” like Elon Musk, who wield influence typically reserved for nation-states. Johnny underscored the risks of concentrating power in the hands of a few, particularly when their decisions impact critical infrastructure or emerging technologies such as AI, quantum computing, and advanced biotech. He advocated for stronger public-private partnerships to balance innovation with public interest. Closing the discussion, Johnny called on leaders to engage actively in shaping the rules governing technology and data, ensuring that advancements benefit society as a whole while protecting against risks like data localization and geopolitical “Balkanization.”