This engaging session at OODAcon 2024 featured a deep dive into the intersection of national security, technology, and policy, led by Matt Devost, with contributions from experts Jim and Will. The panel explored the mindset of global adversaries and their dual approaches to conflict and peace. Scenarios discussed included potential moves like a Chinese blockade of Taiwan or Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting the complexity of emerging threats. The panel also addressed the importance of public support, strong alliances, and the need for a decisive U.S. response to adversarial escalations in cyber and other domains.

The conversation shifted to broader geopolitical dynamics, including the role of non-state actors and the increasing influence of the private sector in areas like AI and space exploration. The panelists debated unconventional uses of AI by authoritarian regimes, such as leveraging synthetic biology or quantum advancements, and stressed the critical need for ethical and regulatory considerations. They also examined scenarios for peace, such as economic cooperation or collaborative space exploration, while recognizing the challenges posed by adversaries perceiving U.S. weaknesses.

The discussion concluded with a lightning round on the greatest risks and opportunities posed by emerging technologies. Artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and synthetic biology emerged as central themes, with the panelists identifying both immense potential for prosperity and significant risks. They also addressed “gray rhinos,” including climate change and domestic divisions, emphasizing the urgency of addressing these challenges to ensure future stability and progress.