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Analysis

  • With Viasat Satellite Hack Officially Attributed to Russia by US and EU Allies, What Next for Satellite Security?

    On March 17th, CISA and the FBI issued a Joint Cybersecurity Advisory for the SATCOM ecosystem, following the cyberattack on the Viasat Satellite system.  That same week, OODA Loop contributor Emilio Iasiello provided an analysis of satellite security in the context of overall cybersecurity: “The cyber threat to satellites has been a longstanding concern and…

  • CISA Granted Subpoena Power as Cyber Incident Reporting Bill Signed into Law

    There are so many important headlines we do not want to get lost ‘below the fold’ for our membership, and this update is one of those headlines. On March 2nd, the Senate unanimously passed the Strengthening American Cybersecurity Act. A vital piece of the consolidated legislation was a cyber incident reporting bill. On March 11th, lawmakers…

  • OODA On Corporate Intelligence In The New Age

    We strongly encourage every company, large or small, to set aside dedicated time to focus on ways to improve your ability to understand the nature of the significantly changed risk environment we are all operating in today, and then assess how your organizational thinking should change. As an aid to assessing your corporate sensemaking abilities,…

  • Gradually, then suddenly, the business environment has changed

    In a famous line from Hemingway’s The Sun Also Rises, a character in the story is asked how he went bankrupt. His reply: “Two ways… gradually, then suddenly.” This line is a catchy way to articulate the way compounding interest works in finance. It is also a good description for the S-Curve that is so…

  • Costa Rica in a State of Emergency: Is Conti Gang Cyber Attack a “Sphere of Influence” Shot Across the Bow?

    Since yesterday, on the day when a new president took the helm in Costa Rica, a state of emergency was declared in the country based on the impact cyber-attack by the Russia-affiliated Conti Ransomware Gang.  Following is what the journalist trade calls a “tic-toc” of the incident – with a formative analysis of mitigation efforts…

  • Opinion: DHS Disinformation Governance Board Needs to Be Sunk Before It Gets Out of Dock

    In May 2022, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) announced the creation of a Disinformation Governance Board, a new internal working group within DHS with the mission of ensuring these protections are “appropriately incorporated across DHS’ disinformation-related work and that rigorous safeguards are in place.”  Per a fact sheet released by DHS, this group will…

  • The U.S. State Department Offers a $10 Million Bounty for Information about Conti Ransomware Gang Members

    The Department of State is offering a reward of up to $10,000,000 for information leading to the identification and/or location of any individual(s) who hold a key leadership position in the Conti ransomware variant transnational organized crime group. In addition, the Department is also offering a reward of up to $5,000,000 for information leading to…

  • The NSO Group’s Pegasus Spyware: A Global Update

    Since our expanded coverage in July of last year of Project Pegasus – a cadre of global news organization’s exhaustive investigation of the Pegasus “zero click” surveillance software – there have been many developments related to the spyware – including legal, national security and geopolitical activities pointed directly at the NSO Group (the Israel-based developer…

  • Open Source “Protestware”: Sabotaging Open-Source Code as a Form of Hacktivism

    OODA Loop readers will know more than most the two biggest uses of the term “Open Source.” We frequently write about both. In the context of intelligence, Open Source means information that does not come from classified channels. In terms of software, Open Source means software developed and managed in an open way, generally using…

  • Tracking The Cryptocurrency Revolution: A guide to OODA Loop Research and Reporting on Bitcoin and Ethereum

    It is still very early in the cryptocurrency revolution, but Bitcoin, Ethereum and other related projects have now generated a combined market cap of over $1.6 Trillion Dollars, a signal of heft in this new of the economy. Estimates of the numbers of people using cryptocurrency vary widely, but there could be up to 20%…


OODAcasts

  • Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack is widely known in the cybersecurity world for his pioneering work on disclosing and discussing computer vulnerabilities (the CVE  (common vulnerabilities and exposures) list). He also helped formalize and train leading approaches to threat modeling and wrote the foundational book on the subject (Threat Modeling: Designing for Security). In this OODAcast we seek…

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

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