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Analysis

  • IriusRisk’s Open-Threat Model (OTM) Standard Available via Creative Commons License

    In 2014, Elon Musk applied the open-source philosophy to Telsa patents (to foster innovation and “create a common, rapidly-evolving technology platform”) making all the company’s patents available for public use. The automated threat modeling company IriusRisk may have similar motivations for the rapid market creation of an open-standard threat modeling tools marketplace, with the added…

  • Crafting a Humanitarian Surge to Respond to the War on Ukraine

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine has placed an extraordinary burden on civilians and civilian infrastructure. According to the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, as of March 20, 2022, 902 civilians have been killed and another 1,459 have been wounded. This casualty rate is likely much higher and will certainly increase as the conflict continues.

  • Using Artificial Intelligence For Competitive Advantage in Business

    AI technologies are making continuous advances in domains like industrial robotics, logistics, speech recognition and translation, banking, medicine and advanced scientific research. But in almost every case, the cutting edge AI that drives the advances drops from attention, becoming almost invisible when it becomes part of the overall system. The fact that most AI use…

  • The March 2022 OODA Network Member Meeting: Core Themes Emerge from Five Scenarios for War’s End

    To help members optimize opportunities and reduce risk, OODA hosts a monthly video call to discuss items of common interest to our membership. These highly collaborative sessions are always a great way for our members to meet and interact with each other while talking about topics like global risks, emerging technologies, cybersecurity, and current or…

  • Why is cyber threat detection so hard?

    Why is cyber threat detection so hard? The most obvious reason threat detection is hard is that “threat” is too abstract to solve. It may seem obvious, but effective problem solving requires problem framing. Hence, everyone involved in the process clearly understands the problem and what it is not. We get distracted by vague and…

  • China Keeps U.S. Cyber Operations in the News

    In March 2022, the Chinese cybersecurity company Pangu Lab attributed cyber espionage targeting Chinese organization to the United States’ premier signals intelligence agency. The Chinese company Qihoo 360 had done this in 2020 when it attributed hostile cyber activity to the Central Intelligence Agency (APT-C-39). In the past, Beijing appeared content to ride out global…

  • Open-Source Intelligence Resources: The EU Disinformation Lab’s Ukraine Conflict Resource Hub

    EU DisinfoLab is an independent non-governmental organization (NGO) focused on “researching and tackling sophisticated disinformation campaigns targeting the European Union, its member states, core institutions, and core values.” The lab has created the Ukraine Conflict Resource Hub with essential information and links to reliable research, analysis, and fact-checks to help [organizations] navigate during this crisis.…

  • Global Crypto and Digital Currency Initiatives: China

    We continue with our brief survey of crypto and digital currency initiatives from around the globe, all of which are officially sanctioned to enhance national competitive advantage (in the event crypto overtakes the US dollar as the global reserve currency). In previous posts, we provided an analysis of crypto and digital currency initiatives in El Salvador,…

  • For Corporate Strategic Planners: Five Scenarios For War’s End

    As we have discussed in OODA network meetings and our reporting since the beginning of renewed Russian hostilities against Ukraine, assessing the likelihood of war was relatively easy. We listened to what Putin was saying and understood Russian history, culture and Putin’s imperial ambitions and assessed early that he had made up his mind to…

  • What Will The Federal Government Do In Response To The Rise of Cryptocurrencies?

    Over the years it has been very exciting to watch the incredible innovations around Bitcoin and Ethereum and other projects in the crypto space. And there have been huge disappointments in statements by government leaders over the years, many of which have really said disparaging things about the movement. There are still some real haters…


OODAcasts

  • John Chambers on Risk and Opportunity in the Modern Age

    John Chambers on Risk and Opportunity in the Modern Age

    John Chambers is the legendary former CEO of Cisco, a company he helped grow from $70 million in revenue per year when he joined in 1991 to $1.2 billion a year the year he became CEO to over $48 billion a year by the time he retired in 2015. As a leader John was always…

  • Simon Clark on Investigating the Key Man and a Billion Dollar Fraud

    Simon Clark on Investigating the Key Man and a Billion Dollar Fraud

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Pulitzer Prize nominated journalist Simon Clark about his book the “The Key Man: The True Story of How the Global Elite Was Duped by a Capitalist Fairy Tale “. The book tells the story of Arif Naqvi and his Dubai-based private-equity firm Abraaj and attracted he billions of dollars…

  • Charity Wright on China’s Digital Colonialism
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    Charity Wright on China’s Digital Colonialism

    Charity Wright is a Cyber Threat Intelligence Analyst with over 15 years of experience at the US Army and the National Security Agency, where she translated Mandarin Chinese. Charity now specializes in dark web cyber threat intelligence, counter-disinformation, and strategic intelligence at Recorded Future. Her analysis has provided deep insights into a variety of incidents,…

  • Jan Chipchase on Field Research for Actionable Insights

    Jan Chipchase on Field Research for Actionable Insights

    Jan Chipchase is the founder and director of Studio D Radiodurans, a research, design and innovation consultancy. He specializes in identifying nuanced patterns of human behavior. The insight it generates informs and inspires design, strategy, brand and public policy. Jan describes his work in design anthropology in terms of a satellite launched into space that…

  • Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations

    Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations

    Ben Dubow is CTO and founder of Omelas, a firm that provides data and analysis on how nations manipulate the web to achieve their geopolitical goals. He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having appeared on international media including Reuters, Bloomberg and Roll Call.…

  • Jahon Jamali On Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the Coming Metaverse

    Jahon Jamali is a leading expert on emerging technologies, global risk management and international relations. He began his career as a U.S. Intelligence Officer with the Defense Intelligence Agency. He also has extensive experience in the high tech community creating and growing startups through to successful exits. All this makes him an even more credible…

  • Maury Rogow: Every Corporation Will Have A Metaverse Strategy

    Maury Rogow: Every Corporation Will Have A Metaverse Strategy

    Maury Rogow builds a solid case that your brand will live or die based on the story you tell in the metaverse. Maury is a pioneer in applying the art of storytelling to convey the value of technology in the Internet age. He built a successful approach to storytelling that made direct contributions to the…

  • Alan Cohen of DCVC on Investing in Deep Tech For Humanity

    Alan Cohen of DCVC on Investing in Deep Tech For Humanity

    Alan Cohen is a partner at DCVC, a highly regarded venture capital firm who pioneered the concept of investing in Deep Tech. He has helped lead and grow some of the most influential enterprise IT companies in the world. We talk tech with Alan, and he is the perfect guy to examine some of the…

  • Digital Self Sovereignty and Avoiding the Long Night with John Robb

    Digital Self Sovereignty and Avoiding the Long Night with John Robb

    John is one of the most disruptive thinkers of our time and is capable of drilling down on critical issues like security, society, and technology with deep authority and insights. In this conversation we cover a lot of topics, including John’s concept of OODA Shear, data and digital self sovereignty, Afghanistan, AI, Bitcoin, and the…

  • Inman’s Rules: The Enduring Principles of Operational Intelligence

    Inman’s Rules: The Enduring Principles of Operational Intelligence

    Admiral Bobby Ray Inman retired from the US Navy in 1982. But his influence endures. His principles, which he codified into a list still exchanged among intelligence community leaders today, is now known as Inman’s Rules. In this OODAcast interview of Admiral Inman we review these rules, seeking insights into how they can be applied to…

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