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Analysis

  • Ukraine-Russia War Threat to Space Security Update

    The space security and space war aspects of the current Russian invasion of Ukraine have manifested in various ways since the beginning of the war. However, it was preceded by months of build-up, as massive military vehicle parks were created at various places along the Russian and Belarusian borders – all viewed from space. The…

  • Russia Is Not Following Its Own Blueprint for Success in Cyberspace Against Ukraine

    More than a week into its invasion of Ukraine, by many accounts the Russian military effort is not going as well as expected. Some movements have stalled, impacting Russian force supplies and prompting a 40-mile convoy to address these shortcomings. There is a general consensus Moscow has miscalculated its ability in winning the conflict quickly,…

  • Project Hamilton: The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and The MIT Digital Currency Initiative

    Based on the recent release of our Web3 Cyber Incident Database, we continue with our brief survey of crypto and digital currency initiatives from around the globe, all of which are officially sanctioned to enhance national competitive advantage. Today we provide an analysis of the major central bank digital currency (CBDC) initiative in the U.S.,…

  • The Russian Invasion of Ukraine: Perspectives for the C-Suite Decision-Maker

    As we have previously mentioned, the Russian aggression against Ukraine will have impacts far beyond the region. All companies and all government organizations (including those at local and state levels) should evaluate the potential impact of these hostilities on operations. This post is the next in a series of reports on this threat and mitigation…

  • A No Hype Assessment On Starlink Security In Combat Environments: There are risks and mitigation measures

    The full Starlink system is an incredible capability. High quality engineering was applied to reimagine the every component of the architecture, including ground stations to control the architecture, satellites which communicate with each other and the ground, and new terminals with advanced antennas that can track satellites without need for a gimbal. The ground element…

  • Goodbye to All That

    The conflict in Ukraine has validated a number of assumptions cyberspace strategy and intelligence thinkers have been promulgating for over 20 years. The use of cyber attacks in conjunction with the traditional components of armed conflict, for example. Likewise, the involvement of “patriotic hackers” in an armed conflict, with or without the approval of the…

  • Chinese Company Outs U.S. Cyber Espionage and Sends a Message

    In late February 2022, Qi An Pangu Lab, a Chinese cybersecurity company, “declassified” technical details of a cyber espionage campaign allegedly perpetrated by an elite hacking group working under the U.S. National Security Agency (NSA). Per the company’s findings, these state actors dubbed the “Equation Group” by the cybersecurity community created an advanced backdoor that…

  • Full Log4Shell Attack Chain-Enabled Conti Ransomware Gang Supports Russia; Ukrainian Gang Member Retaliates

    In early February, a cybercrime crackdown by Russian authorities included the arrest of members of the REvil gang. Overall, follow-up reports suggested a growing sentiment that the Russian authorities were out to optimize the appeasement value to the U.S. of the arrests. We later suggested that the REvil Gang arrest was possibly a false flag…

  • Cyber Incident Reporting Rule for Critical Infrastructure Approved by U.S. Senate

    Hours before the State of the Union address, the Senate unanimously passed the Strengthening American Cybersecurity Act,  which is actually various bills that have now been made into one piece of legislation. Months ago, the measures had previously been removed from the annual defense policy bill.

  • The 2022 Russian Invasion and Ukraine Defence: A Black Day Scenario

    A ‘Black Day’ in European military culture is historically associated with a day on which the Army suffers its worse number of casualties. In the war so far, public information at the time of this analysis has identified that Russian military losses have been substantial.  Substantial losses during an invasion are to be expected: defenders…


OODAcasts

  • Bob Zukis and the Digital Directors Network: Helping corporate boards mitigate systemic risk

    Bob Zukis and the Digital Directors Network: Helping corporate boards mitigate systemic risk

    Bob Zukis is a man on a mission to improve the ability of corporate America to succeed in a complex digital world, even when under constant cyber attack. Bob is the CEO and founder of the Digital Directors Network, the global pioneer in helping corporate directors advance their understanding of systemic risk. We consider Bob…

  • Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack is widely known in the cybersecurity world for his pioneering work on disclosing and discussing computer vulnerabilities (the CVE  (common vulnerabilities and exposures) list). He also helped formalize and train leading approaches to threat modeling and wrote the foundational book on the subject (Threat Modeling: Designing for Security). In this OODAcast we seek…

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

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