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Analysis

  • Cherry-Filled NIE on Terrorism (Update)

    Wow, the (still classified) NIE on terrorism reportedly points out that the war in Iraq has sown a new crop of Jihadists and ratcheted up the terrorist threat since 9/11/01. The intelligence estimate, completed in April, is the first formal appraisal of global terrorism by United States intelligence agencies since the Iraq war began, and…

  • They Said, They Said

    The DOD IG report on Able Danger was released yesterday. I have not had time to read fully, but a once-over suggests to me that either everyone with a whislte in their mouths committed perjury in front of Congress, or this isn’t the most comprehensive report in the world (there seems to be a lot…

  • DCIA Hayden Plots a Course (Update)

    The CIA’s new director, Gen. Michael V. Hayden, told agency employees yesterday that their intelligence activities are too segmented, saying that operations officers who collect intelligence need to work more closely with the analysts who interpret what it means.* and For the analysts, Hayden said he plans to put more emphasis on “expertise and time…

  • It’s Getting Kinda Technic(al)

    A reminder that there is more to intelligence and security than policy-wonk stuff . . . The older I get the less proficient in technology I get, but there was a time when I was fairly ‘l33t (get your kids to explain it to you). Today I’m in the running for the world’s worst computer science grad and I’m rapidly…

  • Breakfast, not at Tiffany’s (Update)

    There was plenty of Splenda thank goodness, which went well with the Japanese-style breakfast.* CSPAN was there, but it isn’t on the site yet as far as I can tell. Additional press coverage here and here.** Chairman Hoekstra was on his game as always, and Dr. Ledeen was as gracious a host as one could have wanted. Quick…

  • How Not to Promote Sharing

    The Homeland Security Information Network came under fire today from the Homeland Security Department’s Office of the Inspector General, which said management and trust problems have undermined the project. HSIN was intended to be a network for developing and disseminating threat alerts, notifications and warnings among public safety organizations, emergency personnel, and state and local…

  • Cyber Security: Captain Wanted (Update)

    One can have varying degrees of concern over “cyber” terrorism or how badly we might suffer were someone to go EBO on us, but I think we can all agree that while planning may continue, a rudderless ship is still unlikely to reach its destination. We have been hearing about what a high priority this…

  • The Lab No One Ever Heard Of

    Ha! Aha! Ahahahahahahaha! DIA’s approach [to organizational change was] based on three principles. First, the agency discovered that any mechanism to facilitate change must be positioned outside DIA’s business units and must have the protection of top leadership. Second, it saw that structuring this mechanism should be done through raids – short-term pilot projects – instead of…

  • Monday Quick Hits

    Quick turn around back to DC so enjoy these tidbits while I try to carve out some time for something more substantial: The War on Terror just got a lot harder, thanks to our “ally” Another data point on the generally bizarre clearance process. Still more details on why the SSCI report is at best…

  • It’s Academic

    I can now join the TSA queue and prepare for my probing with a smile knowing that my latest Standard piece is available for your reading pleasure.  Thanks to Tom for the shout-out. Folks, if you think the SSCI report is anything but a political tool, you are deluding yourself. Should we expect more? Perhaps if…


OODAcasts

  • OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    There is hardly a person more suited to speak with the OODA team on OODA Loops that former Air Force pilot John Robb. John has worked successfully in a variety of domains to include the special operations community, as an industry analyst, successful start-up founder, and national security expert. John Robb has distinguished himself with…

  • Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    The leadership team at OODA have had the pleasure of working with and learning from Bobbie Stempfley since her leadership of the Department of Defense Computer Emergency Response Team (DoD CERT) after she established it in the late 1990’s. This OODAcast captures insights from Bobbie that can inform the action of leadership of corporate and…

  • Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder is a journalist, researcher, historian, author of bestselling books and a teacher/mentor to many. We invited him on the OODAcast to help our community as we continue to look for insights that can drive operational decisions. For 20 years, Marc Ambinder has told true and complex stories about the world, revealed some of its…

  • Peter Singer on Burn-In
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    Peter Singer on Burn-In

    Burn-In is anchored in the realities we see all around us today. Artificial Intelligence is coming fast and changing the nature of many jobs, robots and automation are bringing tremendous new capabilities but also threatening humanity with loss of employment opportunities. Parenting in a world where everyone, including kids, are always connected is already changing…

  • Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk
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    Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk

    In this OODAcast, OODA LLC CEO Matt Devost interviews Congressman Will Hurd in a wide ranging discussion that touches on issues of geopolitical risk, cybersecurity, cyber risk and ways to help ensure our nation is prepared to compete and win in an age of rapid technological innovation. Quantum Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Advanced Communications (5G) and…

  • Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink is on the leadership team at Palantir, where he has helped shape their approach to product design and architecture. He has also played major roles in ensuring the company stays focused on the mission needs of customers today, and, through shaping R&D, is helping ensure the company is better able to serve the…

  • JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    We invited Boston Merdian’s co-founder and partner JC Raby on to the OODAcast do discuss his insights into the market today as well as his views on things companies can do to ensure they position themselves for the best possible transaction in the future. We also asked his advice for the strategic investor/buyer of firms…

  • Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Scott McNealy was a co-founder and CEO of Sun Microsystems and has one of the longest-running tenures as the CEO of a Fortune 500 company in history. He was one of the few businessmen that played a critical role in the emergence of the Silicon Valley technology industry that exists today and is a highly…

  • CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    Balan Ayyar is the Founder and CEO of Percipient.ai, a Silicon Valley based artificial intelligence firm focused on delivering products and solutions for the most pressing intelligence and national security challenges. We have been tracking this leader for years and have watched him inspire many to achieve great things. His leadership in senior officer roles…

  • Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Carmen Medina served 32 years in senior positions at the Central Intelligence Agency, most of which focused on one of the hardest tasks in the community, that of analysis. Carmen rose to lead the strategic assessments group for the agency, then was deputy director of intelligence, the most senior leadership position for analysis at the…

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