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Analysis

  • So Many Lost Opportunities

    A perfectly good and entirely feasable idea via Bruce Schneier: There are a variety of encryption technologies that allow you to analyze data without knowing details of the data: I am reminded of the after-action meeting held after a major cyber threat event about, oh, eight years ago. In one room sat the working-level experts…

  • Mailbag

    Did you see Bruce’s post this morning? So much for your profiling argument. Which is what exactly? Were we to continue the parlor game of listing terrorist attacks and linking them to race or religion I’m fairly confident that there would be more tick marks in the swarthy-ethnic-man column than in the pissed-off-whitey column. In…

  • Going Purple

    As part of an effort to break down barriers between intelligence agencies, [Intelligence Community] employees will be required to serve tours of duty outside their home offices to qualify for promotion into the government’s senior ranks. A directive mandating “joint duty” assignments was recently issued by John D. Negroponte, the director of national intelligence. It…

  • For want of some OPSEC, a Jihad Lost

    I predict that US and coalition forces will be out of Iraq much sooner than anyone expects. I base this prediction in part on the intelligence and military aftermath following Abu Musab al-Zarqawi’s death; though not necessarily for the same reasons that other commentators have offered up. Frankly, I think al-Qaida in Iraq is too…

  • DOCEX Rocks

    Courtsey of Time (oddly enough): U.S. intelligence got its first inkling of the plot from the contents of a laptop computer belonging to a Bahraini jihadist captured in Saudi Arabia early in 2003. It contained plans for a gas-dispersal system dubbed “the mubtakkar” (Arabic for inventive). Fearing that al-Qaeda’s engineers had achieved the holy grail…

  • One more reason to hate Red Sox fans

    (H/T Bruce Schneier) Yet another disturbing story about DHS, the punch line being: Homeland Security, the $40-billion-a-year agency set up to combat terrorism after 9/11, has been given universal jurisdiction and can hold anyone on Earth for crimes unrelated to national security — even me for a court date I missed while I was in…

  • Just Pretend its Evidence

    The U.S. FBI may have lost 400 pieces of equipment, National Journal’s Technology Daily reported Monday.The Federal Bureau of Investigation still has not told the Government Accountability Office what has happened to hundreds of pieces of equipment that were supposed to be part of a failed department-wide case-management system. “The FBI also has not provided…

  • HLS: Serious or Not Serious XVI

    Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff no longer has a problem with spam. Not wanting to be deluged with lots of garbage, Chertoff no longer uses e-mail. His conversion to Luddism started after Hurricane Katrina last year, when a deluge of overnight messages about levee breaches flooded his e-mail account, according to a report in U.S.…

  • “John” on IC Reform

    “John Doe,” late of the CIA, sounds off with his ideas on how to shake things up (via Washington Times): Why not reform the intelligence community to make core functions the centerpiece of a truly effective intelligence service? A small but efficient DNI office can manage the community and serve as the link to policy-makers.…

  • Opportunity (Update)

    Iraq’s national security adviser said Thursday a “huge treasure” of documents and computer records was seized after the raid on terror leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi’s hideout, giving the Iraqi government the upper hand in its fight against al-Qaida in Iraq. […] When asked how he could be sure the information was authentic, al-Rubaie said “there…


OODAcasts

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

  • Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
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    Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

    Katharina McFarland has led change in a wide array of national security domains including Space, Missile Defense, Acquisition and Nuclear Posture. She is a former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition (ASD(A) and a former Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology (ASAALT).  She currently serves on several corporate boards and as…

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