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Analysis

  • Accidental Info Op

    You’re an Iraqi soldier under Saddam. A plain grunt. You get some rudimentary training, a well-used rifle, barely serviceable uniform and in the face of the world’s most powerful military are abandoned by your superiors in a desperate attempt to save their own skins. You’re taken prisoner, quickly debriefed and just as quickly demobilized. A…

  • Juries

    In grad school it was driven into our heads that your average juror was only going to have the equivalent of an eight-grade education and we had to consider that heavily when preparing testimony. Clever but simple analogies worked well because they were things almost anyone could “get.” What to make then of the mental…

  • Don’t forget to vote

    Update: Really, really last chance . . . Before the sentence comes down hit the GroupIntel forums and help predict the fallout from the Moussaoui trial. Sign up if you are not already a member (use an alias if you like, we don’t spam or sell or otherwise abuse your trust). Help prove that none…

  • Testifying on Domestic Intel

    Former DDI Gannon provides testimony to Congress about domestic intel issues. An important recommendation: […] if the FBI is to remain the agency of choice in developing a domestic intelligence capability, it will need much stronger and clearer direction and much closer oversight from the Executive and Legislative branches on the much bigger and faster…

  • Keller: Deaf, Blind*

    I learned of NYT Executive Editor Bill Keller’s WSJ letter on the radio this afternoon. Not to sound like a broken record, but I am left (almost) speechless that this is what passes for an argument on national security issues. Mr. Keller laments that anyone would call the actions of his kind political. I’ll leave…

  • Gobsmacked II

    I, ah . . . heh heh, yeah . . . I don’t know what to say about this. Reads like yellow rag, but as many former colleagues like to say: “I don’t believe in coincidences.” Innocent until proven guilty and all that, but if a quarter of it is true, we’re in a world…

  • Barney with a Blue Badge

    A very good report in USN&WR on how not to improve domestic intelligence. I will not quote extensively here because it deserves your full attention. The gist is that we’re pouring money down a black hole for dubious results. Not that this is news when homeland security funds is concerned, but the fact that it…

  • The Voodoo Box

    As if on cue, the WaPo addresses the validity (or not) of the polygraph: The CIA, the FBI and other federal agencies are using polygraph machines more than ever to screen applicants and hunt for lawbreakers, even as scientists have become more certain that the equipment is ineffective in accurately detecting when people are lying.…

  • Taking the Politics out of Intelligence

    (Note: An earlier version of this post ran back in February and it seems appropriate to re-run in light of recent events. I’ve fattened it up in a few places and retooled it lightly. A bad idea? Not really. Impractical? Possibly. A meaningful exercise? Most certainly.) That senior members of our intelligence community (IC) play…

  • Politicizing intel or the other way around?

    Able Danger blog points out an interesting development.


OODAcasts

  • Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    The leadership team at OODA have had the pleasure of working with and learning from Bobbie Stempfley since her leadership of the Department of Defense Computer Emergency Response Team (DoD CERT) after she established it in the late 1990’s. This OODAcast captures insights from Bobbie that can inform the action of leadership of corporate and…

  • Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder is a journalist, researcher, historian, author of bestselling books and a teacher/mentor to many. We invited him on the OODAcast to help our community as we continue to look for insights that can drive operational decisions. For 20 years, Marc Ambinder has told true and complex stories about the world, revealed some of its…

  • Peter Singer on Burn-In
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    Peter Singer on Burn-In

    Burn-In is anchored in the realities we see all around us today. Artificial Intelligence is coming fast and changing the nature of many jobs, robots and automation are bringing tremendous new capabilities but also threatening humanity with loss of employment opportunities. Parenting in a world where everyone, including kids, are always connected is already changing…

  • Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk
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    Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk

    In this OODAcast, OODA LLC CEO Matt Devost interviews Congressman Will Hurd in a wide ranging discussion that touches on issues of geopolitical risk, cybersecurity, cyber risk and ways to help ensure our nation is prepared to compete and win in an age of rapid technological innovation. Quantum Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Advanced Communications (5G) and…

  • Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink is on the leadership team at Palantir, where he has helped shape their approach to product design and architecture. He has also played major roles in ensuring the company stays focused on the mission needs of customers today, and, through shaping R&D, is helping ensure the company is better able to serve the…

  • JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    We invited Boston Merdian’s co-founder and partner JC Raby on to the OODAcast do discuss his insights into the market today as well as his views on things companies can do to ensure they position themselves for the best possible transaction in the future. We also asked his advice for the strategic investor/buyer of firms…

  • Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Scott McNealy was a co-founder and CEO of Sun Microsystems and has one of the longest-running tenures as the CEO of a Fortune 500 company in history. He was one of the few businessmen that played a critical role in the emergence of the Silicon Valley technology industry that exists today and is a highly…

  • CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    Balan Ayyar is the Founder and CEO of Percipient.ai, a Silicon Valley based artificial intelligence firm focused on delivering products and solutions for the most pressing intelligence and national security challenges. We have been tracking this leader for years and have watched him inspire many to achieve great things. His leadership in senior officer roles…

  • Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Carmen Medina served 32 years in senior positions at the Central Intelligence Agency, most of which focused on one of the hardest tasks in the community, that of analysis. Carmen rose to lead the strategic assessments group for the agency, then was deputy director of intelligence, the most senior leadership position for analysis at the…

  • Lou Manousos, CEO of RiskIQ, On Reducing Adversary Attack Paths

    Lou Manousos, CEO of RiskIQ, On Reducing Adversary Attack Paths

    Elias (Lou) Manousos is a recognized expert in Internet security and fraud prevention. He has been developing and delivering enterprise protection technologies for more than 15 years. As CEO of RiskIQ, he has spearheaded a new approach that helps Internet, financial services, healthcare, media and consumer packaged goods companies protect their brands from online fraud.…

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