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Analysis

  • Should We Really Be Worried Over Influence Campaigns?

    In the runup to the 2024 U.S. presidential election, much attention has been placed on rampant influence campaigns emerging from U.S. adversaries like China, Iran, and Russia.  Over the last decade, fear of influence campaigns has risen with the popularity of social media usage and the public routinely eschewing traditional media and turning to alternative sources.  Unsurprisingly,…

  • The National Blockchain Standard… in China

    In June 2023, China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced “a national standard for blockchain technology to guide the development of the industry.”  In this post:  an analysis of the strategic policy initiatives in the lead-up to the June 2023 unveiling of the Chinese national blockchain standard – and future scenarios.

  • A Dispatch from the Ministry for the Future: “Wet Bulb” Heat and Humidity Conditions in the U.S.

    Wet bulb temperature is a measure that combines air temperature and humidity, indicating conditions under which the human body’s ability to cool itself through sweating and evaporation is compromised.  While not a mass casualty event, over the next four days, places and pockets of the U.S. may be in wet bulb territory for a long…

  • Market Pivot or Inflection Point? Blockchain Storage Utilization, Data Inscription, and the Exponential Growth of Storage Blocks

    Is the blockchain primarily a storage of value technology or an infrastructure for the storage of information?  Or both in unequal or equal measure?  And does this issue represent a business model pivot or inflection point for the web3 stack and the future of the internet? We explore these questions in this OODA Loop Original…

  • Anatomy of a Cyber-crypto Heist: $22 Million in Crypto Lifted from Blockchain-based Gala Games

    We continue to track notable convergences in the Global Gaming Ecosystem – like our recent analysis of  North Korea’s ‘Moonstone Sleet’ hacking group using a fake tank game for ransomware attacks.  In this post you will find the details of a May 2024 gaming platform-based cybercrime incident: The theft of $22 million in crypto from…

  • The Materials Genome Initiative (MGI): A Paradigm Shift in the Discovery, Development, and Deployment of New Materials

    Think of the infrastructure and architecture of the Human Genome Project, then apply it to the acceleration of our “understanding of the fundamentals of material science, providing a wealth of practical information that entrepreneurs and innovators will be able to use to develop new products and processes.”  For the initiated:  Welcome to the Materials Genome…

  • Cybersecurity Regulation Harmonization Need to Be Done Correctly, Not Quickly

    There is no doubt that regulation harmonization is much needed especially given the amount of cyber regulation being developed or already on the books, and how it’s being enforced.

  • Exponential Technologies and the Future of Digital Self-Sovereignty

    The convergence of exponential technological disruption with digital self-sovereignty could lead to a redefinition of personal and collective agency – and will likely profoundly transform industries and societies. In this post: an OODA Loop Original Analysis of the implications of this convergence and future scenarios. 

  • Simplifying Crypto for Everyone: The Revolutionary Coinbase Smart Wallet Explained

    Coinbase has a new crypto wallet which is incredibly easy to use but also very powerful. And it has security features backed up by a consortium of some of the greatest security engineers on the planet. The result is an easy to use crypto financial tool that provides powerful capabilities to anyone with a smartphone…

  • Introducing Apple’s On-Device and Server Foundation Models

    At the 2024 Worldwide Developers Conference, we introduced Apple Intelligence, a personal intelligence system integrated deeply into iOS 18, iPadOS 18, and macOS Sequoia. Apple Intelligence is comprised of multiple highly-capable generative models that are specialized for our users’ everyday tasks, and can adapt on the fly for their current activity. The foundation models built into…


OODAcasts

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

  • Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
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    Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

    Katharina McFarland has led change in a wide array of national security domains including Space, Missile Defense, Acquisition and Nuclear Posture. She is a former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition (ASD(A) and a former Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology (ASAALT).  She currently serves on several corporate boards and as…

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