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Analysis

  • The Cyber Arms Race Gives Way to AI Weaponization

    The weaponization of cyberspace has been a legitimate concern as nation states aggressively build capabilities to project power, retaliate, and become more offensively minded. 

  • Global Turbulence: Rethinking Business Strategies in an Era of Unrest

    I’ve professionally tracked geopolitical events for my entire adult life, starting as a Navy Intelligence Officer in 1982. Now at OODA I continue this professional watching of geopolitical events (most of which you see reflected in our reporting). Four decades of experience of operational intelligence analysis leads me to the same conclusion most any watcher…

  • What Executives Need To Know About The 2024 Annual Threat Assessment From the U.S. Intelligence Community

    The Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community is an unclassified report released each year concurrent with Congressional testimony to Congress by the Director of National Intelligence. The report focuses on what the ODNI believes are the most direct, serious threats to the U.S. during the next year.   OODA leverages the details of this…

  • The OODA Network on Exponential Technology Disruption, Global Risk, and Geopolitical Futures

    Following the initial discussion at the April 2024 OODA Network Monthly Meeting of Domain-Specific Large Language Model Development and Use Cases, the conversation transitioned into technology topics, underscoring the need to stay informed about rapidly advancing tech domains, in a discussion of a broad swath of exponential technologies in the context of the current global…

  • Framing Transparency as AI Races on Down the Road at Double Exponential Speed

    AI Transparency is a concept centered on openness, comprehensibility, and accountability in technological systems. In the context of AI, transparency refers to the extent to which the inner workings and decision-making processes of AI systems are made accessible and understandable to users and other stakeholders. This includes insights into the data training, algorithms employed, and…

  • Are PSYOPS in Cyberspace a Viable Tool Against Adversaries?

    A recent article revealed that the U.S. National Security Agency (NSA) would try to counter prolific ransomware gangs beyond using cyber responses, and also include psychological warfare into its toolbox. 

  • Washington D.C.: The Emerging Crypto Capital of the World?

    Political Realignment and Regulatory Evolution Pave the Way for Blockchain Innovation in the Nation’s Capital

  • HHS Launches $50 Million ARPA-H Program to Improve Hospital Cybersecurity

    In the wake of the Ascension and Change/United Healthcare ransomware attacks, The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) and the Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health (ARPA-H) recently “announced the launch of the Universal PatchinG and Remediation for Autonomous DEfense (UPGRADE) program, a cybersecurity effort that will invest more than $50 million to create…

  • The United States’ International Cyberspace and Digital Policy Strategy

    At this year’s RSA Conference a few weeks ago, Secretary of State Anthony Blinken announced the release of the United States’ International Cyberspace and Digital Policy Strategy – which we assume was a policy effort led (within State and across all federal agencies) by the Bureau of Cyberspace and Digital Policy, where Nate Fick remains…

  • The Recoding of War Doctrine and the Disintermediation of the Theater of Operation by the Swarm Architecture

    Future scenarios involving the Recoding of War Doctrine and the Disintermediation of the Theater of Operation by the Swarm Architecture are transformative, heralding a shift in the very fabric of military strategy and operations. While still evolving, these concepts suggest a future where warfare is increasingly dominated by autonomous systems and decentralized decision-making, fundamentally altering…


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