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Analysis

  • Why The OODA Loop? Because everything is in a ceaseless flux.

    A young Brazilian Mixed Martial Arts fighter has just kicked off a wave of interest in the teachings of a little known philosopher, Ludwig von Mises. This has generated excitement among Boyd fans, who have long seen a connection between the philosophy of Mises and the attitudes and approaches of Boyd. Moicano has also been…

  • DoD’s Unprecedented Commitment to a “Commercial Space Integration Strategy”

    The much anticipated “Commercial Space Integration Strategy” was released by the Department of Defense in early April 2024 (weeks before the release of the Space Force Commercial Space Strategy). The DoD strategy document outlines the “broad guidance for where and why the Pentagon will try to increase its use of commercial space technologies.”  Details here.

  • Continued AI Integration Drives the Race Between Attackers and Defenders

    AI versus AI will be the central drama, but the outcome depends profoundly on human choices around how intelligently we govern this technology. 

  • Is Your Board of Directors Integrating AI Governance into its Corporate Oversight and Disclosure Efforts?

    We found a compelling ISS-Corporate memorandum  – AI and Board Of Directors Oversight: AI Governance Appears on Corporate Radar – authored by Veronica Nikitas.  The report provides a robust quantitative framework for this topic’s core issues. In this post, you will find the key takeaways and excerpts from the report, as well as a forward-thinking…

  • What Does the Nuclear Age Teach Us About Managing Escalation?

    RAND researchers explore the “lessons and challenges from three historical crises between nuclear-armed powers” when managing the potential escalation of nuclear conflict—insights apropos to the tinderbox that is the Middle East and ongoing threats of nuclear escalation in Europe by Russian President Vladamir Putin.  A summary of the RAND report and insights can be found…

  • In the Wake of the Iranian Drone Swarm and Ballistic Missile Attack on Israel: Future Scenarios

    The war in Ukraine was the beginning, and the Iranian attack on Israel by a swarm of over 200 drones and ballistic missiles is now the tail end of an elongated inflection point – propelling geopolitics into a new era of 21st Century “Algorithmic Warfare.”   A tick-tock of developments and links to live update resources…

  • Space Force Releases the Much Anticipated Inaugural U.S. Commercial Space Strategy

    Last week, the U.S. Space Force (USSF) released the much-anticipated “Commercial Space Strategy”—the first such strategy released by the USSF—which commits to realigning funding and prioritizing commercial space opportunities. Details from the USSF CSS are available here. 

  • Perspectives on AI Hallucinations: Code Libraries and Developer Ecosystems

    Our hypothesis on AI Hallucinations is based on a quote from the OODAcon 2024 panel, “The Next Generative AI Surprise: “Artificial Intelligence hallucinations may sometimes provide an output that is a very creative interpretation of something or an edge case that proves useful.” With that framing in mind, the following is the first installment in…

  • After the Impact of the Change/United Healthcare Ransomware Attack, HHS Bolsters Healthcare Cybersecurity Initiatives

    The ransomware epidemic is starting to feel like one continuous incident report and a growing national security concern – not to mention the dormant “ghost in the machine” capabilities that have already been positioned in the U.S. internetwork (by nation-state and non-nation-state players alike) as part of a strategic plan for a larger act of…

  • The Water Sector Is Being Threatened.  That Should Worry Everyone

    In December 2023, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), National Security Agency (NSA), Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and the Israel National Cyber Directorate (INCD) issued an alert regarding the activities of Iranian cyber actors dubbed “CyberAv3ngers” believed to be tied to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).  The alert cited that this group…


OODAcasts

  • OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    There is hardly a person more suited to speak with the OODA team on OODA Loops that former Air Force pilot John Robb. John has worked successfully in a variety of domains to include the special operations community, as an industry analyst, successful start-up founder, and national security expert. John Robb has distinguished himself with…

  • Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    The leadership team at OODA have had the pleasure of working with and learning from Bobbie Stempfley since her leadership of the Department of Defense Computer Emergency Response Team (DoD CERT) after she established it in the late 1990’s. This OODAcast captures insights from Bobbie that can inform the action of leadership of corporate and…

  • Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder is a journalist, researcher, historian, author of bestselling books and a teacher/mentor to many. We invited him on the OODAcast to help our community as we continue to look for insights that can drive operational decisions. For 20 years, Marc Ambinder has told true and complex stories about the world, revealed some of its…

  • Peter Singer on Burn-In
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    Peter Singer on Burn-In

    Burn-In is anchored in the realities we see all around us today. Artificial Intelligence is coming fast and changing the nature of many jobs, robots and automation are bringing tremendous new capabilities but also threatening humanity with loss of employment opportunities. Parenting in a world where everyone, including kids, are always connected is already changing…

  • Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk
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    Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk

    In this OODAcast, OODA LLC CEO Matt Devost interviews Congressman Will Hurd in a wide ranging discussion that touches on issues of geopolitical risk, cybersecurity, cyber risk and ways to help ensure our nation is prepared to compete and win in an age of rapid technological innovation. Quantum Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Advanced Communications (5G) and…

  • Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink is on the leadership team at Palantir, where he has helped shape their approach to product design and architecture. He has also played major roles in ensuring the company stays focused on the mission needs of customers today, and, through shaping R&D, is helping ensure the company is better able to serve the…

  • JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    We invited Boston Merdian’s co-founder and partner JC Raby on to the OODAcast do discuss his insights into the market today as well as his views on things companies can do to ensure they position themselves for the best possible transaction in the future. We also asked his advice for the strategic investor/buyer of firms…

  • Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Scott McNealy was a co-founder and CEO of Sun Microsystems and has one of the longest-running tenures as the CEO of a Fortune 500 company in history. He was one of the few businessmen that played a critical role in the emergence of the Silicon Valley technology industry that exists today and is a highly…

  • CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    Balan Ayyar is the Founder and CEO of Percipient.ai, a Silicon Valley based artificial intelligence firm focused on delivering products and solutions for the most pressing intelligence and national security challenges. We have been tracking this leader for years and have watched him inspire many to achieve great things. His leadership in senior officer roles…

  • Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Carmen Medina served 32 years in senior positions at the Central Intelligence Agency, most of which focused on one of the hardest tasks in the community, that of analysis. Carmen rose to lead the strategic assessments group for the agency, then was deputy director of intelligence, the most senior leadership position for analysis at the…

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