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Analysis

  • What Does the Nuclear Age Teach Us About Managing Escalation?

    RAND researchers explore the “lessons and challenges from three historical crises between nuclear-armed powers” when managing the potential escalation of nuclear conflict—insights apropos to the tinderbox that is the Middle East and ongoing threats of nuclear escalation in Europe by Russian President Vladamir Putin.  A summary of the RAND report and insights can be found…

  • In the Wake of the Iranian Drone Swarm and Ballistic Missile Attack on Israel: Future Scenarios

    The war in Ukraine was the beginning, and the Iranian attack on Israel by a swarm of over 200 drones and ballistic missiles is now the tail end of an elongated inflection point – propelling geopolitics into a new era of 21st Century “Algorithmic Warfare.”   A tick-tock of developments and links to live update resources…

  • Space Force Releases the Much Anticipated Inaugural U.S. Commercial Space Strategy

    Last week, the U.S. Space Force (USSF) released the much-anticipated “Commercial Space Strategy”—the first such strategy released by the USSF—which commits to realigning funding and prioritizing commercial space opportunities. Details from the USSF CSS are available here. 

  • Perspectives on AI Hallucinations: Code Libraries and Developer Ecosystems

    Our hypothesis on AI Hallucinations is based on a quote from the OODAcon 2024 panel, “The Next Generative AI Surprise: “Artificial Intelligence hallucinations may sometimes provide an output that is a very creative interpretation of something or an edge case that proves useful.” With that framing in mind, the following is the first installment in…

  • After the Impact of the Change/United Healthcare Ransomware Attack, HHS Bolsters Healthcare Cybersecurity Initiatives

    The ransomware epidemic is starting to feel like one continuous incident report and a growing national security concern – not to mention the dormant “ghost in the machine” capabilities that have already been positioned in the U.S. internetwork (by nation-state and non-nation-state players alike) as part of a strategic plan for a larger act of…

  • The Water Sector Is Being Threatened.  That Should Worry Everyone

    In December 2023, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), National Security Agency (NSA), Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and the Israel National Cyber Directorate (INCD) issued an alert regarding the activities of Iranian cyber actors dubbed “CyberAv3ngers” believed to be tied to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).  The alert cited that this group…

  • What Can Your Organization Learn from the Use Cases of Large Language Models in Medicine and Healthcare?

    Other industry sectors should keep a close eye on the critical milestones and pitfalls of the biotech/healthcare space – with an eye toward what platform, product, service innovations, and architectures may have a potable value proposition within your industry. The Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI (HAI) is doing great work fielding research in healthcare with…

  • Quantum Day (aka “Q-Day”) is a Gray Rhino Stridently Galloping Straight at Your Organization

    “Q-Day” is a scenario where “no more secrets” becomes a reality, as previously secure communications and data could be vulnerable to decryption by entities wielding quantum computational power (also known as “Quantum Supremacy”).  Find a breakdown, analysis, and future scenarios here.  

  • Spatial AI is the Future of Human-Computer Interaction and the Metaverse

    Regular readers of the OODA Loop know that we cover exponential technologies daily and we expect disproportionate disruption when these technologies start to converge.  In this post, we explore AI + an expanded working definition (with subcategories) of what is broadly considered “the metaverse” + blockchain technology as an example of the exponential tech stack…

  • After His Presidential Re-election Victory, Putin Escalates Drone, Cyber and Disinformation Offensives

    With Vladamir Putin’s “landslide” victory in the Russian Presidential election in the rearview mirror (the victory extends Putin’s autocratic rule through 2030, which will be his 18th year as president), we provide some situational awareness RE: Putin’s ongoing, global cyber and disinformation offensives – and the drone swarm attacks that are proving the 21st Century…


OODAcasts

  • Randall Fort on The Future of the Metaverse And Its Cybersecurity and Intelligence Implications
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    Randall Fort on The Future of the Metaverse And Its Cybersecurity and Intelligence Implications

    In this OODAcast we glean lessons learned and insights into the future of the Metaverse and its implications from Randall Fort. Fort is a seasoned security, intelligence and technology leader known for his grasp of enterprise mission needs and his ability to track the rapid advancing capabilities of technology to meet those needs. His background…

  • Amr Awadallah On The Biggest Challenges And Opportunities in Enterprise IT Today

    Amr Awadallah On The Biggest Challenges And Opportunities in Enterprise IT Today

    In this OODAcast we examine lessons learned as a startup founder and insights into the future of technology with Amr Awadallah. Amr Awadallah is widely known as a founder of Cloudera. Prior to that he was working on extreme scale data solutions for Yahoo. Most recently he was VP for Developer Relations at Google Cloud.…

  • Sir David Omand on Leveraging How Spies Think In Our Business and Personal Lives
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    Sir David Omand on Leveraging How Spies Think In Our Business and Personal Lives

    Sir David Omand is one of the most respected intelligence professionals in the world and author of the book How Spies Think: Ten lessons in intelligence. His career in intelligence began shortly after graduating from Cambridge in 1969 when he joined the UK’s GCHQ (Government Communications Headquarters). He would later become the director of GCHQ.…

  • Jessica Gulick: An accomplished cybersecurity practitioner turned CEO on future focused leadership

    Jessica Gulick: An accomplished cybersecurity practitioner turned CEO on future focused leadership

    Jessica Gulick is widely known for her leadership of the successful growth strategy and marketing firm Katzcy. She is also the Commissioner of the US Cyber Games, a multi-phased cybersecurity program recruiting a US Cyber Team for international competition. She is also the founder of PlayCyber, a new business line promoting cyber games and tournaments.…

  • Lance Mortlock On Scenario Planning to Drive Strategic Decisions

    Lance Mortlock On Scenario Planning to Drive Strategic Decisions

    Lance Mortlock is a Senior EY Strategy Partner. He is author of the book Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for Post Pandemic Future, which explores ways scenario planning can help organizations be more resilient. This is a must-read book for anyone in the Risk Management field. It provides practical advice for strategists, planners, executives and board…

  • Jer Thorp on Living in Data and Creating Better Futures

    Jer Thorp on Living in Data and Creating Better Futures

    Each year, there are one or two books that deeply resonate with me and become sticky in that I’m thinking about the book often, bringing it up in conversations, and sending out unsolicited recommendations for executives and researchers in my network to check it out. Jer Thorp’s “Living in Data: A Citizen’s Guide to a…

  • Tony Tether On Technology Leadership and Lessons Learned From DARPA

    Tony Tether On Technology Leadership and Lessons Learned From DARPA

    Dr. Tony Tether was the director of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, DARPA, from 2001 till his retirement in 2009. In this OODAcast we examine some of Dr. Tether’s formative experiences, including a very unique job he held while awaiting entry to Stanford. He was a door to door salesman and while doing that…

  • Cofer Black on Leadership Lessons Learned and Speaking Truth to Power

    Cofer Black on Leadership Lessons Learned and Speaking Truth to Power

    In this OODAcast, we talk with renowned counter-terrorism expert and career clandestine services professional Cofer Black. Cofer is best known for having been the Director of the CIA’s Counterterrorism Center on 9/11 and having been part of the intelligence community warning about the near-term threat of terrorism in the United States prior to the attacks.…

  • Gaurav Banga On Mitigating Cyber Threats Through Deep Insight Into Things That Matter Most

    Gaurav Banga On Mitigating Cyber Threats Through Deep Insight Into Things That Matter Most

    Gaurav Banga is the Founder and CEO of Balbix, and serves on the boards of several companies. Before Balbix, Gaurav was the Co-founder & CEO of Bromium and led the company from inception for over 5 years. Earlier in his career, he served in various executive roles at Phoenix Technologies and Intellisync Corporation, and was…

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    Kim Zetter on Understanding the Realities of Cyberthreats and How Code Has a Story to Tell

    This week’s OODAcast is with Kim Zetter, an incredibly well respected journalist who has been covering cybersecurity related issues for two decades.  Matt Devost talks with Kim about a wide variety of cyber-related issues including a deep dive into Stuxnet and the implications for today’s security environment. Kim also shares details as to how she…

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