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Analysis

  • A 4X Increase in Disinformation in Africa is Fundamentally Destabilizing

    A new report from the Africa Center for Strategic Studies found that “disinformation campaigns seeking to manipulate African information systems have surged nearly fourfold since 2022, triggering destabilizing and antidemocratic consequences.”  Find a summary and analysis of the report here. 

  • Are Chinese-Made Ship-to-Shore Cranes at U.S. Ports a Critical Infrastructure Vulnerability?

    The 2023 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA)  (made into law in December 2022) included some specific military-related cybersecurity provisions, including a required study of cybersecurity and national security threats posed by foreign-manufactured cranes at United States ports” to assess whether foreign manufactured cranes at United States ports pose cybersecurity or national security threats.” The study was…

  • The March 2024 OODA Network Monthly Meeting: The Global and Domestic Impacts of the Exponential Pace of Technological Change

    At the March 2024 OODA Network Member Meeting – which was held on Friday, March 15, 2024 –  Four categories were discussed as framing for the discussion:  The speed with which artificial intelligence changes are happening;  Geopolitical conflict and crisis issues;  Domestic issues that are at times being underreported; and the general march of technology…

  • Undersea Communications Cables and the Seabed Continue to Evolve as Threat Vectors and Contested Arenas

    Back in March 2023, we provided an analysis of  “Undersea Telecommunications Cables and the Seabed as Geopolitical Contested Arenas” which, at the time, we framed relative to a great power competition with China:  “Along with Africa and the Arctic, add the growing tensions between the U.S. and China about undersea cable deployment and seabed warfare to your geopolitical…

  • Swarm Intelligence and Network Swarms: Future Scenarios

    The concept of network swarms, particularly in the context of modern conflict and security, represents a fascinating and somewhat disorientating evolution in the dynamics of warfare and strategic operations.  The implications of swarm intelligence also extend beyond  these immediate scenarios in technology and defense. They challenge our traditional notions of intelligence, control, and organization, suggesting…

  • Wondering if we are living in a simulation? If we are it is probably based on NVIDIA

    We Are Living In A Simulation That Runs On NVIDIA Ok maybe that is totally tongue in cheek and maybe even a bit hyperbolic. If we are running in a simulation I have know idea what the base layer really runs on. But the power of NVIDIA’s new Blackwell platform, combined with everything else they…

  • The Interim Report of the U.S. National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology

    The U.S. National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology publicly released its first report in January of this year – with ideas and recommendations “they will be advancing throughout 2024…culminating in a comprehensive report to Congress in December 2024.”  Find a summary and analysis of the interim report here.  

  • For the Cybersecurity Community: A Call to Action for Memory-safe Strategies and “Better Diagnostics that Measure Cybersecurity Quality”

    In late February, “the National Cyber Director (ONCD) released a report calling on the technical community to proactively reduce the attack surface in cyberspace. ONCD makes the case that technology manufacturers can prevent entire classes of vulnerabilities from entering the digital ecosystem by adopting memory-safe programming languages. ONCD is also encouraging the research community to…

  • The Drone Swarm Architecture Will Transform U.S. Warfighting Capacity

    Lieutenant General (ret.) Clint Hinote, U.S. Air Force and Major General (ret.) Mick Ryan, Australian Army – Special Advisors to the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP) – have co-authored a paper on “Uncrewed systems—which are now undergoing a form of Cambrian Explosion in capability, quality, and quantity…these systems are disrupting how combatants are considering risk,…

  • Exponential Technology Stack Convergence: Generative AI-enabled Blockchain Networks

    Throughout 2024, we expect disproportionate disruption when the exponential tech stack starts to converge.   One of the most promising of these exponential technological intersections will be Generative AI-enabled Blockchain Networks – of which applications and use cases have started to emerge.


OODAcasts

  • OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    There is hardly a person more suited to speak with the OODA team on OODA Loops that former Air Force pilot John Robb. John has worked successfully in a variety of domains to include the special operations community, as an industry analyst, successful start-up founder, and national security expert. John Robb has distinguished himself with…

  • Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    The leadership team at OODA have had the pleasure of working with and learning from Bobbie Stempfley since her leadership of the Department of Defense Computer Emergency Response Team (DoD CERT) after she established it in the late 1990’s. This OODAcast captures insights from Bobbie that can inform the action of leadership of corporate and…

  • Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder is a journalist, researcher, historian, author of bestselling books and a teacher/mentor to many. We invited him on the OODAcast to help our community as we continue to look for insights that can drive operational decisions. For 20 years, Marc Ambinder has told true and complex stories about the world, revealed some of its…

  • Peter Singer on Burn-In
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    Peter Singer on Burn-In

    Burn-In is anchored in the realities we see all around us today. Artificial Intelligence is coming fast and changing the nature of many jobs, robots and automation are bringing tremendous new capabilities but also threatening humanity with loss of employment opportunities. Parenting in a world where everyone, including kids, are always connected is already changing…

  • Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk
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    Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk

    In this OODAcast, OODA LLC CEO Matt Devost interviews Congressman Will Hurd in a wide ranging discussion that touches on issues of geopolitical risk, cybersecurity, cyber risk and ways to help ensure our nation is prepared to compete and win in an age of rapid technological innovation. Quantum Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Advanced Communications (5G) and…

  • Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink is on the leadership team at Palantir, where he has helped shape their approach to product design and architecture. He has also played major roles in ensuring the company stays focused on the mission needs of customers today, and, through shaping R&D, is helping ensure the company is better able to serve the…

  • JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    We invited Boston Merdian’s co-founder and partner JC Raby on to the OODAcast do discuss his insights into the market today as well as his views on things companies can do to ensure they position themselves for the best possible transaction in the future. We also asked his advice for the strategic investor/buyer of firms…

  • Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Scott McNealy was a co-founder and CEO of Sun Microsystems and has one of the longest-running tenures as the CEO of a Fortune 500 company in history. He was one of the few businessmen that played a critical role in the emergence of the Silicon Valley technology industry that exists today and is a highly…

  • CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    Balan Ayyar is the Founder and CEO of Percipient.ai, a Silicon Valley based artificial intelligence firm focused on delivering products and solutions for the most pressing intelligence and national security challenges. We have been tracking this leader for years and have watched him inspire many to achieve great things. His leadership in senior officer roles…

  • Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Carmen Medina served 32 years in senior positions at the Central Intelligence Agency, most of which focused on one of the hardest tasks in the community, that of analysis. Carmen rose to lead the strategic assessments group for the agency, then was deputy director of intelligence, the most senior leadership position for analysis at the…

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