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Analysis

  • Microsoft and OpenAI Issue a Stark Report and a $10M Bounty from the State Department

    Competing cyber capabilities (on a spectrum from nation-state to non-state actors alike) and cyber-based conflict will continue to restructure, reformulate, and transform the very essence of what power, prestige, international governance, and geopolitical strategy are in the 21st century – and large language models are the new force multiplier.  Microsoft and OpenAI have quantified the…

  • Global AI Developers Need to Set Some Standards – Now

    Too many times the world has been caught flat-footed by technological advances.  With generative AI there has been ample expectation of its capabilities for both good and bad not to be prepared for what is already materializing.

  • Rice and Fertilizer are the Linchpins of Global Food Insecurity

    Recent restrictions on rice exports by India prompt this analysis of the on the ground conditions of global food insecurity, returning to some of the themes we explored in The Future of Food (In)Security and Agriculture Cybersecurity: Grain Hoarding, Rice Shortages and the War in Ukraine.  In 2024, we are on the lookout for technological…

  • What You Need to Know About the Convergence of Robot Process Automation (RPA) and AI

    According to the Robot Report, The International Federation of Robotics recently “noted that the stock of operational robots around the world attained a new record of about 3.9 million units in 2022. The average robot density, or number of robots per 10,000 human workers, rose to 151 and the trend of using artificial intelligence in robotics and…

  • Will The AI Safety Institute – and the Consortium Model – Insure an AI-safe Future?

    Consistent with our recent analysis of government regulation (or overregulation?) of AI, and the introduction of the concept of the “decontrol” of AI, the recent launch of the AI Safety Institute (organized as a public/private consortium) begs the same questions:  although a public/private collaboration, is the AI Safety Institute an extension of an overall climate…

  • Contextualizing Advancements in Bioengineering to your Business Operations

    As noted in the first post in this series, it has become increasingly clear that the revolution in biological science will impact most every sector of the economy.

  • The Space Economy in 2024

    The near term opportunities and risks of the space economy and Space Force, innovation, and national security were discussed at length at OODAcon 2023. We return here to the two panels from the conference and a compilation of our space coverage as we head into a year in space ripe with innovation, critical missions, and…

  • Nations Agree to Reign in Commercial Spyware- How Serious Are They?

    ecently, more than 35 nations have signed a new international agreement to collaborate on reigning in the “hacker for hire” commercial market, in which private interests sell tools and services to support offensive cyber activities.

  • Globalization Transformed: Where Should Your Organization “Nearshore” and/or “Friendshore”?

    Various perspectives – on Latin American nearshoring and Indo-Pacific “friendshoring” with allied nations in an effort to secure and shorten global supply chains – as well as the emergence of “China +1” –  four emergent manufacturing hubs – can be found here in this post.  

  • Decontrol AI to Accelerate Solutions

    In a previous post we asked “Is the US Government Over-Regulating Artificial Intelligence?” We followed it with some historical context and a summary of today’s government controls in “Regulations on Government Use of AI.” This post builds on those two to examine an example on how a decontrol mindset can help speed AI solutions into…


OODAcasts

  • Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack is widely known in the cybersecurity world for his pioneering work on disclosing and discussing computer vulnerabilities (the CVE  (common vulnerabilities and exposures) list). He also helped formalize and train leading approaches to threat modeling and wrote the foundational book on the subject (Threat Modeling: Designing for Security). In this OODAcast we seek…

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

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