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Category: Business

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Author: OODA Analyst

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption


Analysis

  • As Two Billion People go to the Polls in 2024, Foundational LLMs and Misinformation are “The Perfect Storm”

    Early warning systems are flashing red – indicating a growing “perfect storm” of all the unintended consequequences we have experienced to date based on:an unregulated tech sector coupled with cyberwarfare tactics and kompromat innovation   This time out, it will all play out with exponential speed, scale and volume over the course of 2024. 

  • Scams Against Americans are Skyrocketing. The US Tech Sector and Government can Turn the Tide

    A recent Gallup poll combined with a new Federal Trade Commission (FTC) estimate of fraud losses show that criminals are stealing 10s or 100s of billion dollars from 21 million Americans each year.

  • Does the U.S. Have a “Talent Superpower Strategy”?

    China has articulated a “Talent Superpower Strategy.” But does the U.S. have an equivalent workforce and talent strategy for educating, training, attracting and retaining the talent required for exponential technology innovation to insure American Competitiveness?   A recent Center for a New American Security (CNAS) report explores this challenge.

  • Before OpenAI’s ChatGPT, There was Google DeepMind’s Alphafold

    While the release of ChatGPT and enterprise-level deployment of Large Language Models have been impactful, all organizations should also be digging deeper into recent AI and deep learning history and ask the question:  “How is Deepmind’s Alphafold representative of the future architectures, ecosystems, platforms and value creation opportunities in our industry sector and subsectors?”  

  • The Future of AI-based Gene Sequencing

    An analysis of the latest Alphafold breakthrough  – Enformer, a neural network architecture that accurately predicts gene expression from DNA sequences – and the What’s Next? of the future of AI and Genomics.

  • Regaining Trust: Improving Science and Public Health Policy Communications

    We are in the midst of a Covid, RSV, and flu virus surge that both media and governmental outlets have not and are no doing any public messaging about (in some regions, the current surge matches the metrics of the first Omnicron surge in 2021).  In this post, we take a look at various perspespectives…

  • It’s 2024. Time to Have Attribution Standards in Cyberspace

    The fact that attribution -especially against states – is even done with any confidence is surprising given that those that attributing both herald the sophistication associated with state actors while at the same time citing their carelessness as one of the reasons that they were able to be identified in the first place. Read more here.

  • Recent Developments in and the Future of the Bioeconomy in 2024

    We have tracked vital recent developments in health security, bioengineering, synthetic biology, biotechnology, and medical technology  – which are compiled here. The future of the U.S. Bioeconomy is crucial to the future of strategic competitive advantage globally – all of which was discussed in a future-forward fashion at OODAcon 2023.

  • Updates and Recommendations from the CISA Cybersecurity Advisory Committee

    Established in June 2021, the CISA Cybersecurity Advisory Committee (CSAC) is comprised of experts on cybersecurity, technology, risk management, privacy, and resilience, who advise the Director on policies and programs related to CISA’s mission.  This post leads with summaries from the most recent CISA CSAC Quarterly Meetings, followed by an archive from all previous CSAC…

  • What the Board Needs to Know About Exponential Disruption, Cybersecurity, Risk Management and Strategy

    Over the course of 2023, we posted a series of post on the issues and risks which Boards of Directors should consider related to emerging technology and cybersecurity. Global polycrises, exponential technological disruption, and unprecedented historical uncertainty aside:  From OpenAI to FTX, the market and the media narrative have proven that fiduciary responsibility and corporate…


OODAcasts

  • Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack is widely known in the cybersecurity world for his pioneering work on disclosing and discussing computer vulnerabilities (the CVE  (common vulnerabilities and exposures) list). He also helped formalize and train leading approaches to threat modeling and wrote the foundational book on the subject (Threat Modeling: Designing for Security). In this OODAcast we seek…

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

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