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Analysis

  • The Providers of Exponential Technologies Supporting OODAcon

    Our annual OODAcon brings together the hackers, thinkers, strategists, disruptors, leaders, technologists, and creators with one foot in the future to discuss the most pressing issues of the day and provide insight into the ways technology is evolving. OODAcon is not just about understanding the future, but developing the resiliency to thrive and survive in an…

  • Russian Cyber Attacks in 2023: Shifting Patterns, Goals, and Capacities

    The Computer Emergency Response Team of Ukraine (CERT-UA) and State Service of Special Communications and Information Protection of Ukraine (SSSCIP) have just released a report analyzing the evolution of cyber tactics, objectives, and capacities of the Russian government and government-controlled threat groups in the first half of 2023. The report and details here. 

  • What is the United States Information Strategy?

    This post provides insights into some major elements in the US government concerned with countering foreign malign influence, highlighting some overlaps and possible discontinuities.

  • Everything You Need to Know about Swatting and Swatting-as-a-Service

    Swatting is a dangerous and illegal hoax or prank in which someone falsely reports a critical incident to law enforcement, with the intention of causing a heavily armed police or SWAT team to respond to a specific location. Swatting-as-a-Service (SaaS) is a disturbing development where individuals can pay others or hire “services” to carry out…

  • Cyber Defense Insights and Resources for the Corporate Board (Human Risk Management, Social and Human Engineering)

    In the shadow of the recent MGM Cyberattack (and other recent ransomware attacks in U.S. and in the Pacific Islands), cyber defense is in the spotlight.  Specifically, what role should corporate boards play in human risk management, as well social and human engineering defenses?  Following are OODA Loop resources on these cyber threats, addressing the…

  • The Future of Money, Trust, Value Creation, and Blockchain Technologies

    OODA CEO Matt Devost and Raymond Roberts, in a fireside chat on The Future of Money at OODAcon 2022, began with a discussion of origins of their interest in bitcoin, the history of money and the global fiat currency standard as a necessary introduction to a longer discussion of the future of money. Later in the…

  • Is Elon Musk’s Vision for ‘X’ Already Up Against Signal, Telegram, and Paypal in an Existing Market?

    According to the customer development, lean startup model, a firm grasp on  “market type” (i.e. creating a new market or entering an existing market) is central to any startup companies success or incumbent companies efforts at innovation (or self-cannibalization to stay ahead of external disruption).  How will Elon Musk’s vision of X handle the already…

  • The Leadership Required To Take Full Advantage of Emerging Technology

    This post examines the type of technology leadership required in large enterprises like the government.

  • Exponential Technologies Will Require a “New Paradigm of Trust”

    Trust – between individuals, governents and corporations, machines and technology platforms – is both under attack and undergoing a fundamental transformation.  The Atlantic Council’s frames these issue as the “Economy of Trust”  – which will rely on “innovation and invention, informed by data, to mitigate concerns surrounding the impacts and risks of emerging technologies.”  Atlantic…

  • The Climate Crisis, Texas’ Bitcoin Miners, and European Farmers

    Loosely tethered to our previous update – “While Texas Declared a Grid Emergency, EU Fossil Generation is at Record Low” – two more climate crisis related developments are worth tracking as an indicator of what may be the new reality in this age of polycrisis.  We do not provide solutions but do mention mental frameworks…


OODAcasts

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

  • Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
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    Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

    Katharina McFarland has led change in a wide array of national security domains including Space, Missile Defense, Acquisition and Nuclear Posture. She is a former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition (ASD(A) and a former Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology (ASAALT).  She currently serves on several corporate boards and as…

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