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Category: Business

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Keyword: China

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Author: OODA Analyst

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Analysis

China’s Gallium and Germanium-based Countermeasures in the Global Chip Supply Chain War

Tactically, China recently made a significant geopoltical and in the IT supply chain move, restricting exports of two minerals used in high-performance chips. Following is a summary of the new Chinese policy – followed by links to our original analysis series on rare earth, critical minerals and the global IT supply chain (disruption, innovation and…
“We Have No Moat”: Tracking the Exponential Growth of Open Source LLM Performance (Latency and Throughout)

Like the Unix, Solaris, Irix, AIX Open Source operating systems that became the Linux-led open source operating system and the broader open source software movement (over a 30 to 40 year time period) the open source large language model “market” is poised to eat up market share in an exponentially fast time frame. Hugging Face…
“Big Game Hunting” and Geopolitics are Drivers in a Record Year of Ransomware Extortions

Midway through 2023 – and the scale, volume and frequency of ransomware cyber incidents are setting off alerts left and right in our risk awareness and sensemaking research efforts. In this post, we spend some time with recent report on the severity of the global ransomware epidemic – Chainalysis reports that ransomware gangs have extorted…
Homeland Security Startup Studio: Converge 2023 – Presenting Companies and Finalists with Keynote Remarks by CISA’s Jen Easterly

The Homeland Security Startup Studio (HSSS) hosted the hybrid Converge event on July 10 from 1-5 p.m. EST. This culminating event of the 2023 cohort showcased the program finalists’ pitches for the cutting-edge technologies they have worked to advance over the past 18 weeks. Conducted in partnership with the venture-building company FedTech, HSSS brings together entrepreneurs,…
The National Cybersecurity Strategy Implementation Plan is Now Available

The release today of the National Cybersecurity Strategy Implementation Plan is where the rubber meets the road.
Matt Devost and Karl Schroeder Discuss The Future of Exponential Innovation, Socio-Techno Economic Systems and The Deodands Project

Following is a transcript of the second half of OODA CEO Matt Devost’s conversation with Schroeder about his book Stealing Worlds – and Shroeder’s insights about the coming wave of innovation, what has surprised him most in the last five years, work he has done with a design company to bring a technology system from…
The Silicon Valley Defense Group “NatSec 100”

The SVDG recently introduced the inaugural version of the NatSec100, a “newly developed, annual ranked list of the top venture-funded defense and dual-use startups. It was developed to offer a data-driven snapshot of the evolving techno-security ecosystem” – including policy recommendations.
Can Cyber Insurance Help Legally Codify an International Definition for Cyber War?

Cybercrime and cyberespionage activity continue to proliferate against all industries and sectors inflicting financial and material damage on targeted networks. Cyber insurance has assisted in mitigating the impacts of cyber malfeasance, offsetting costs associated with recovering from cyber attacks. A Government Accountability Office report found that the increasing severity and frequency of cyberattacks led more organizations to seek cyber…
Deep Fakes and National Security

In 2024, one billion people around the world will go to the polls for national elections. From the US presidential election in 2024 to the war in Ukraine, we’re entering the era of deepfake geopolitics, where experts are concerned about the impact on elections and public perception of the truth.
The Pentagon’s Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Officer – One Year In

Margie Palmieri, DoD Deputy CDAO, will be in a fireside chat format with Jim Mitre from the RAND Corporation on the standing up of the CDAO operation since it was established in February 2022 and operational by June 2022. Ther are many lessons to learn from this operational case study by the private sector -…

OODAcasts

Authors

Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

March 3, 2023

Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.
Intelligence

Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

February 10, 2023

Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…
Authors

Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

February 2, 2023

This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.
Authors, Tech

Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

January 6, 2023

In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…
Intelligence

Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

November 15, 2022

In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…
Authors, Tech

Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

September 30, 2022

Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…
Tech

Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

September 2, 2022

Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…
Tech

100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

August 5, 2022

In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…
Authors

David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

June 24, 2022

While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…
Intelligence, Tech

Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

May 27, 2022

Katharina McFarland has led change in a wide array of national security domains including Space, Missile Defense, Acquisition and Nuclear Posture. She is a former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition (ASD(A) and a former Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology (ASAALT). She currently serves on several corporate boards and as…