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Analysis

  • The Global Food Security Crisis: Russia Pulls Out of the Black Sea Grain Initiative (But Continues to Smuggle Grain)

    Russia has notified Turkey, Ukraine and the UN that it will not renew a deal that allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea.  Ukrainian wheat production plays a significant role in global food security due to its status as one of the world’s major wheat exporters. Ukraine is among the top wheat-producing countries,…

  • Context and Lessons on The Deindustrialization of Germany

    A recent article in Politico, “Rust belt on the Rhine”, lays out many of the monumental challenges the German economy and society face in the future: The article does not mention the educational system, which in many ways appears to be stuck in the 1950s (minus corporal punishment). But the educational system might be an…

  • NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)

    In the months before the recent 2023 NATO Summit in Lithiuania,  the NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)  opened its European regional office at the Imperial College London Innovation Hub in London in May and launched its first three pilot challenge programs.  This operational “standup” was all in a timeline of less…

  • Does NATO Need Its Own Cyber Command?

    Given the proximity of the conflict to neighboring NATO member states, it is unsurprising that the cyberwar between Russia and Ukraine has extended beyond the borders of the two countries, as state and nonstate actors expanded their targeting to third-party countries, including those in the NATO alliance, who have taken sides in the conflict.  To be fair,…

  • Deep Tech is, by its Very Nature, Speculative Design: The Varda Space Drug Factory (Currently Manufacturing Ritonavir in Low Earth Orbit)

    This project is fully operational, but had to start as a rigorous speculative design process – more sci-fi than real world. Until it wasn’t.  It is representative of the kind of project that will still feel like a faraway future, but is currently manufacturing a drug experiment in space. Take a look at the The…

  • The Ukrainian National Cybersecurity Coordination Center on the “First World Cyber War”

    The National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCCC) is an organization housed within the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine and, based on the USAID logo on the front page of some of its reports, sponsored by the U.S. Government.  The NCCC has provided an English translation of its June 2023 Review of Cybersecurity in  Ukraine,…

  • Ripple Labs Wins A Landmark SEC Ruling and Blackrock is Bullish on Cryptocurrency-based Investment Vehicles

     AI has crushed cryptocurrency in the recent technology hype cycle, garnering VC and mainstream media attention fast on the heels FTX Sam Bankman-Fried debacle which tarnished the entire crpytocurrency ecosystem.  What is going on with crypto you may ask? Two recent, majro developments in the crypto space broke through in the last few weeks and…

  • OODA Salon: Examine The Future of Intelligence and Security

    Tuesday 18 July at 4pm Eastern four very experienced national security and intelligence professionals joined in a discussion of the future of intelligence and security informed by last week’s INSA and AFCEA Intelligence Summit.  Heather McMahon, Johnny Sawyer, Larry Pfeiffer and Bob Gourley were all there engaging with various discussions that dove deep into topics of geopolitical…

  • China’s Gallium and Germanium-based Countermeasures in the Global Chip Supply Chain War

    Tactically, China recently made a significant geopoltical and in the IT supply chain move, restricting exports of two minerals used in high-performance chips.  Following is a summary of the new Chinese policy – followed by links to our original analysis series on rare earth, critical minerals and the global IT supply chain (disruption, innovation and…

  • “We Have No Moat”: Tracking the Exponential Growth of Open Source LLM Performance (Latency and Throughout)

    Like the Unix, Solaris, Irix, AIX Open Source operating systems that became the Linux-led open source operating system and the broader open source software movement (over a 30 to 40 year time period) the open source large language model “market” is poised to eat up market share in an exponentially fast time frame. Hugging Face…


OODAcasts

  • Simon Clark on Investigating the Key Man and a Billion Dollar Fraud

    Simon Clark on Investigating the Key Man and a Billion Dollar Fraud

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Pulitzer Prize nominated journalist Simon Clark about his book the “The Key Man: The True Story of How the Global Elite Was Duped by a Capitalist Fairy Tale “. The book tells the story of Arif Naqvi and his Dubai-based private-equity firm Abraaj and attracted he billions of dollars…

  • Charity Wright on China’s Digital Colonialism
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    Charity Wright on China’s Digital Colonialism

    Charity Wright is a Cyber Threat Intelligence Analyst with over 15 years of experience at the US Army and the National Security Agency, where she translated Mandarin Chinese. Charity now specializes in dark web cyber threat intelligence, counter-disinformation, and strategic intelligence at Recorded Future. Her analysis has provided deep insights into a variety of incidents,…

  • Jan Chipchase on Field Research for Actionable Insights

    Jan Chipchase on Field Research for Actionable Insights

    Jan Chipchase is the founder and director of Studio D Radiodurans, a research, design and innovation consultancy. He specializes in identifying nuanced patterns of human behavior. The insight it generates informs and inspires design, strategy, brand and public policy. Jan describes his work in design anthropology in terms of a satellite launched into space that…

  • Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations

    Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations

    Ben Dubow is CTO and founder of Omelas, a firm that provides data and analysis on how nations manipulate the web to achieve their geopolitical goals. He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having appeared on international media including Reuters, Bloomberg and Roll Call.…

  • Jahon Jamali On Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the Coming Metaverse

    Jahon Jamali is a leading expert on emerging technologies, global risk management and international relations. He began his career as a U.S. Intelligence Officer with the Defense Intelligence Agency. He also has extensive experience in the high tech community creating and growing startups through to successful exits. All this makes him an even more credible…

  • Maury Rogow: Every Corporation Will Have A Metaverse Strategy

    Maury Rogow: Every Corporation Will Have A Metaverse Strategy

    Maury Rogow builds a solid case that your brand will live or die based on the story you tell in the metaverse. Maury is a pioneer in applying the art of storytelling to convey the value of technology in the Internet age. He built a successful approach to storytelling that made direct contributions to the…

  • Alan Cohen of DCVC on Investing in Deep Tech For Humanity

    Alan Cohen of DCVC on Investing in Deep Tech For Humanity

    Alan Cohen is a partner at DCVC, a highly regarded venture capital firm who pioneered the concept of investing in Deep Tech. He has helped lead and grow some of the most influential enterprise IT companies in the world. We talk tech with Alan, and he is the perfect guy to examine some of the…

  • Digital Self Sovereignty and Avoiding the Long Night with John Robb

    Digital Self Sovereignty and Avoiding the Long Night with John Robb

    John is one of the most disruptive thinkers of our time and is capable of drilling down on critical issues like security, society, and technology with deep authority and insights. In this conversation we cover a lot of topics, including John’s concept of OODA Shear, data and digital self sovereignty, Afghanistan, AI, Bitcoin, and the…

  • Inman’s Rules: The Enduring Principles of Operational Intelligence

    Inman’s Rules: The Enduring Principles of Operational Intelligence

    Admiral Bobby Ray Inman retired from the US Navy in 1982. But his influence endures. His principles, which he codified into a list still exchanged among intelligence community leaders today, is now known as Inman’s Rules. In this OODAcast interview of Admiral Inman we review these rules, seeking insights into how they can be applied to…

  • The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks
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    The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks

    Bob Bigman spent a career in the intelligence community. He was the CISO of the CIA where he was tasked with leading efforts to protect the nation’s most sensitive secrets. Since 2012 he has provided direct consulting services to CISOs, CIOs, CTOs and CEOs seeking to reduce risk and improve security programs. Through it all…

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