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Analysis

  • The Global Food Security Crisis: Russia Pulls Out of the Black Sea Grain Initiative (But Continues to Smuggle Grain)

    Russia has notified Turkey, Ukraine and the UN that it will not renew a deal that allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea.  Ukrainian wheat production plays a significant role in global food security due to its status as one of the world’s major wheat exporters. Ukraine is among the top wheat-producing countries,…

  • Context and Lessons on The Deindustrialization of Germany

    A recent article in Politico, “Rust belt on the Rhine”, lays out many of the monumental challenges the German economy and society face in the future: The article does not mention the educational system, which in many ways appears to be stuck in the 1950s (minus corporal punishment). But the educational system might be an…

  • NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)

    In the months before the recent 2023 NATO Summit in Lithiuania,  the NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)  opened its European regional office at the Imperial College London Innovation Hub in London in May and launched its first three pilot challenge programs.  This operational “standup” was all in a timeline of less…

  • Does NATO Need Its Own Cyber Command?

    Given the proximity of the conflict to neighboring NATO member states, it is unsurprising that the cyberwar between Russia and Ukraine has extended beyond the borders of the two countries, as state and nonstate actors expanded their targeting to third-party countries, including those in the NATO alliance, who have taken sides in the conflict.  To be fair,…

  • Deep Tech is, by its Very Nature, Speculative Design: The Varda Space Drug Factory (Currently Manufacturing Ritonavir in Low Earth Orbit)

    This project is fully operational, but had to start as a rigorous speculative design process – more sci-fi than real world. Until it wasn’t.  It is representative of the kind of project that will still feel like a faraway future, but is currently manufacturing a drug experiment in space. Take a look at the The…

  • The Ukrainian National Cybersecurity Coordination Center on the “First World Cyber War”

    The National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCCC) is an organization housed within the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine and, based on the USAID logo on the front page of some of its reports, sponsored by the U.S. Government.  The NCCC has provided an English translation of its June 2023 Review of Cybersecurity in  Ukraine,…

  • Ripple Labs Wins A Landmark SEC Ruling and Blackrock is Bullish on Cryptocurrency-based Investment Vehicles

     AI has crushed cryptocurrency in the recent technology hype cycle, garnering VC and mainstream media attention fast on the heels FTX Sam Bankman-Fried debacle which tarnished the entire crpytocurrency ecosystem.  What is going on with crypto you may ask? Two recent, majro developments in the crypto space broke through in the last few weeks and…

  • OODA Salon: Examine The Future of Intelligence and Security

    Tuesday 18 July at 4pm Eastern four very experienced national security and intelligence professionals joined in a discussion of the future of intelligence and security informed by last week’s INSA and AFCEA Intelligence Summit.  Heather McMahon, Johnny Sawyer, Larry Pfeiffer and Bob Gourley were all there engaging with various discussions that dove deep into topics of geopolitical…

  • China’s Gallium and Germanium-based Countermeasures in the Global Chip Supply Chain War

    Tactically, China recently made a significant geopoltical and in the IT supply chain move, restricting exports of two minerals used in high-performance chips.  Following is a summary of the new Chinese policy – followed by links to our original analysis series on rare earth, critical minerals and the global IT supply chain (disruption, innovation and…

  • “We Have No Moat”: Tracking the Exponential Growth of Open Source LLM Performance (Latency and Throughout)

    Like the Unix, Solaris, Irix, AIX Open Source operating systems that became the Linux-led open source operating system and the broader open source software movement (over a 30 to 40 year time period) the open source large language model “market” is poised to eat up market share in an exponentially fast time frame. Hugging Face…


OODAcasts

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

  • Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
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    Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

    Katharina McFarland has led change in a wide array of national security domains including Space, Missile Defense, Acquisition and Nuclear Posture. She is a former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition (ASD(A) and a former Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology (ASAALT).  She currently serves on several corporate boards and as…

  • John Spencer on Connected Soldiers and the Future of Conflict
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    John Spencer on Connected Soldiers and the Future of Conflict

    John Spencer is a writer, thinker, speaker scholar who currently serves as the Chair of Urban Warfare Studies at the US Military Academy. He brings the experience of a veteran who has led in combat to his work, and in his latest book, Connected Soldiers, also provides insights from his time as a stay at…

  • Duyane Norman on Disrupting the CIA to Deal with Emerging Threats
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    Duyane Norman on Disrupting the CIA to Deal with Emerging Threats

    Duyane Norman spent nearly 30 years in the CIA with three Chief of Station and multiple other tours in a variety of interesting geographies and also had a focus on technology issues serving as Deputy Director of the Office of Technical Service within CIA’s Directorate of Science and Technology, and as a member of the…

  • First Federal CISO Greg Touhill on Advanced Cybersecurity by Design

    First Federal CISO Greg Touhill on Advanced Cybersecurity by Design

    Greg Touhill is one of the nation’s premier cybersecurity, information technology and risk management leaders. As an Air Force officer he led technology efforts in some of our nation’s most demanding organizations including combatant commands during time of war. He is an accomplished speaker and author and business executive and also served as our nation’s…

  • Former Tenable CEO Ron Gula Applies a Hacker Mindset to Investing, Public Awareness, and Philanthropy

    Former Tenable CEO Ron Gula Applies a Hacker Mindset to Investing, Public Awareness, and Philanthropy

    In this OODAcast, we interview Ron Gula, co-founder and CEO of the highly successful Tenable Security(NASDAQ:TENB) and currently President of Gula Tech Adventures. Ron has a long history in the cybersecurity field that includes starting his career as an NSA hacker and then transitioning into an entrepreneur responsible for multiple innovations in the market and…

  • Jim Lawler on the Art of Espionage and the Perfect Intelligence Operation
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    Jim Lawler on the Art of Espionage and the Perfect Intelligence Operation

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jim Lawler who is a Senior Partner at MDO Group, which provides HUMINT training to the Intelligence Community and the commercial sector focused on WMD, CI, technical and cyber issues. Mr. Lawler is a noted speaker on the Insider Threat in government and industry. Prior to this, Mr. Lawler…

  • Lifelong Hacker and Experienced Security Executive Alyssa Miller, Author of Cybersecurity Career Guide
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    Lifelong Hacker and Experienced Security Executive Alyssa Miller, Author of Cybersecurity Career Guide

    Alyssa Miller is a life-long hacker and highly experienced security executive who has a passion for security and the security community. She is an excellent advocate for continuous improvement in the community and a frequent speaker to audiences of both fellow business leaders and security community audiences. This combined with her deep experience in the…

  • Dr. Scott Shumate Profiles Russian President Vladimir Putin

    Dr. Scott Shumate Profiles Russian President Vladimir Putin

    This OODAcast is a special edition focused on profiling Russian President Vladimir Putin with Dr. Scott Shumate, who has over 30 years of experience evaluating national leaders, terrorists, spies, and insiders.  Scott shares his unique perspective’s on Putin informed by his extensive experience and insight. Is Putin suicidal? Is he a rational actor? Will he escalate…

  • Chris Butler on the Value of Adversarial Thinking in Product Design and Management

    Chris Butler on the Value of Adversarial Thinking in Product Design and Management

    In this OODACast, Matt talks with Chris Butler about how concepts like adversarial thinking can be applied to product design and management.  Chris is an exemplar of someone who has excelled in his field but also looks to study and bring disruptive ideas like randomness and future framing from other disciplines to determine their value…

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