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Analysis

  • Context and Lessons on The Deindustrialization of Germany

    A recent article in Politico, “Rust belt on the Rhine”, lays out many of the monumental challenges the German economy and society face in the future: The article does not mention the educational system, which in many ways appears to be stuck in the 1950s (minus corporal punishment). But the educational system might be an…

  • NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)

    In the months before the recent 2023 NATO Summit in Lithiuania,  the NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)  opened its European regional office at the Imperial College London Innovation Hub in London in May and launched its first three pilot challenge programs.  This operational “standup” was all in a timeline of less…

  • Does NATO Need Its Own Cyber Command?

    Given the proximity of the conflict to neighboring NATO member states, it is unsurprising that the cyberwar between Russia and Ukraine has extended beyond the borders of the two countries, as state and nonstate actors expanded their targeting to third-party countries, including those in the NATO alliance, who have taken sides in the conflict.  To be fair,…

  • Deep Tech is, by its Very Nature, Speculative Design: The Varda Space Drug Factory (Currently Manufacturing Ritonavir in Low Earth Orbit)

    This project is fully operational, but had to start as a rigorous speculative design process – more sci-fi than real world. Until it wasn’t.  It is representative of the kind of project that will still feel like a faraway future, but is currently manufacturing a drug experiment in space. Take a look at the The…

  • The Ukrainian National Cybersecurity Coordination Center on the “First World Cyber War”

    The National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCCC) is an organization housed within the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine and, based on the USAID logo on the front page of some of its reports, sponsored by the U.S. Government.  The NCCC has provided an English translation of its June 2023 Review of Cybersecurity in  Ukraine,…

  • Ripple Labs Wins A Landmark SEC Ruling and Blackrock is Bullish on Cryptocurrency-based Investment Vehicles

     AI has crushed cryptocurrency in the recent technology hype cycle, garnering VC and mainstream media attention fast on the heels FTX Sam Bankman-Fried debacle which tarnished the entire crpytocurrency ecosystem.  What is going on with crypto you may ask? Two recent, majro developments in the crypto space broke through in the last few weeks and…

  • OODA Salon: Examine The Future of Intelligence and Security

    Tuesday 18 July at 4pm Eastern four very experienced national security and intelligence professionals joined in a discussion of the future of intelligence and security informed by last week’s INSA and AFCEA Intelligence Summit.  Heather McMahon, Johnny Sawyer, Larry Pfeiffer and Bob Gourley were all there engaging with various discussions that dove deep into topics of geopolitical…

  • China’s Gallium and Germanium-based Countermeasures in the Global Chip Supply Chain War

    Tactically, China recently made a significant geopoltical and in the IT supply chain move, restricting exports of two minerals used in high-performance chips.  Following is a summary of the new Chinese policy – followed by links to our original analysis series on rare earth, critical minerals and the global IT supply chain (disruption, innovation and…

  • “We Have No Moat”: Tracking the Exponential Growth of Open Source LLM Performance (Latency and Throughout)

    Like the Unix, Solaris, Irix, AIX Open Source operating systems that became the Linux-led open source operating system and the broader open source software movement (over a 30 to 40 year time period) the open source large language model “market” is poised to eat up market share in an exponentially fast time frame. Hugging Face…

  • “Big Game Hunting” and Geopolitics are Drivers in a Record Year of Ransomware Extortions

    Midway through 2023 – and the scale, volume and frequency of ransomware cyber incidents are setting off alerts left and right in our risk awareness and sensemaking research efforts. In this post, we spend some time with recent report on the severity of the global ransomware epidemic – Chainalysis reports that ransomware gangs have extorted…


OODAcasts

  • The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks
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    The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks

    Bob Bigman spent a career in the intelligence community. He was the CISO of the CIA where he was tasked with leading efforts to protect the nation’s most sensitive secrets. Since 2012 he has provided direct consulting services to CISOs, CIOs, CTOs and CEOs seeking to reduce risk and improve security programs. Through it all…

  • Randall Fort on The Future of the Metaverse And Its Cybersecurity and Intelligence Implications
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    Randall Fort on The Future of the Metaverse And Its Cybersecurity and Intelligence Implications

    In this OODAcast we glean lessons learned and insights into the future of the Metaverse and its implications from Randall Fort. Fort is a seasoned security, intelligence and technology leader known for his grasp of enterprise mission needs and his ability to track the rapid advancing capabilities of technology to meet those needs. His background…

  • Amr Awadallah On The Biggest Challenges And Opportunities in Enterprise IT Today

    Amr Awadallah On The Biggest Challenges And Opportunities in Enterprise IT Today

    In this OODAcast we examine lessons learned as a startup founder and insights into the future of technology with Amr Awadallah. Amr Awadallah is widely known as a founder of Cloudera. Prior to that he was working on extreme scale data solutions for Yahoo. Most recently he was VP for Developer Relations at Google Cloud.…

  • Sir David Omand on Leveraging How Spies Think In Our Business and Personal Lives
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    Sir David Omand on Leveraging How Spies Think In Our Business and Personal Lives

    Sir David Omand is one of the most respected intelligence professionals in the world and author of the book How Spies Think: Ten lessons in intelligence. His career in intelligence began shortly after graduating from Cambridge in 1969 when he joined the UK’s GCHQ (Government Communications Headquarters). He would later become the director of GCHQ.…

  • Jessica Gulick: An accomplished cybersecurity practitioner turned CEO on future focused leadership

    Jessica Gulick: An accomplished cybersecurity practitioner turned CEO on future focused leadership

    Jessica Gulick is widely known for her leadership of the successful growth strategy and marketing firm Katzcy. She is also the Commissioner of the US Cyber Games, a multi-phased cybersecurity program recruiting a US Cyber Team for international competition. She is also the founder of PlayCyber, a new business line promoting cyber games and tournaments.…

  • Lance Mortlock On Scenario Planning to Drive Strategic Decisions

    Lance Mortlock On Scenario Planning to Drive Strategic Decisions

    Lance Mortlock is a Senior EY Strategy Partner. He is author of the book Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for Post Pandemic Future, which explores ways scenario planning can help organizations be more resilient. This is a must-read book for anyone in the Risk Management field. It provides practical advice for strategists, planners, executives and board…

  • Jer Thorp on Living in Data and Creating Better Futures

    Jer Thorp on Living in Data and Creating Better Futures

    Each year, there are one or two books that deeply resonate with me and become sticky in that I’m thinking about the book often, bringing it up in conversations, and sending out unsolicited recommendations for executives and researchers in my network to check it out. Jer Thorp’s “Living in Data: A Citizen’s Guide to a…

  • Tony Tether On Technology Leadership and Lessons Learned From DARPA

    Tony Tether On Technology Leadership and Lessons Learned From DARPA

    Dr. Tony Tether was the director of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, DARPA, from 2001 till his retirement in 2009. In this OODAcast we examine some of Dr. Tether’s formative experiences, including a very unique job he held while awaiting entry to Stanford. He was a door to door salesman and while doing that…

  • Cofer Black on Leadership Lessons Learned and Speaking Truth to Power

    Cofer Black on Leadership Lessons Learned and Speaking Truth to Power

    In this OODAcast, we talk with renowned counter-terrorism expert and career clandestine services professional Cofer Black. Cofer is best known for having been the Director of the CIA’s Counterterrorism Center on 9/11 and having been part of the intelligence community warning about the near-term threat of terrorism in the United States prior to the attacks.…

  • Gaurav Banga On Mitigating Cyber Threats Through Deep Insight Into Things That Matter Most

    Gaurav Banga On Mitigating Cyber Threats Through Deep Insight Into Things That Matter Most

    Gaurav Banga is the Founder and CEO of Balbix, and serves on the boards of several companies. Before Balbix, Gaurav was the Co-founder & CEO of Bromium and led the company from inception for over 5 years. Earlier in his career, he served in various executive roles at Phoenix Technologies and Intellisync Corporation, and was…

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