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Analysis

  • Undersea Telecommunications Cables and the Seabed are Geopolitical Contested Arenas

    Along with Africa and the Arctic, add the growing tensions between the U.S. and China about undersea cable deployment and seabed warfare to your geopolitical tracking, risk awareness, and strategic impacts for your business or organization. Find an overview of the core issues, tensions and What’s Next? here.

  • North Korea Gets on Board Russia’s Recent Info Sec Proposal to the UN

    A couple of months before the U.S.-led Five Eyes operation disrupted Russia’s sophisticated state-run cyber espionage group Turla’s operations, Moscow submitted its vision for a Convention of the United Nations (UN) on Ensuring International Information Security to the UN Open-Ended Working Group on Security (OEWG).  The nine-page proposalfocused on three objectives: 1.) preventing and settling inter-nation state conflicts…

  • Speculative Design: “Virtual Singapore” is a Massive, Fully Functional Digital Twin of the Asian City-State

    Explore and understand Virtual Singapore through the larger strategic initiatives of which the project is a part and the strategic collaborations across the public and private sectors that are making this virtual city-state a reality. 

  • The Future of Japan: Strategic Perspectives on the 2023 G7 Summit Host Country

    The 2023 G7 Summit took place this weekend.  Dominating the coverage of the summit was a visit by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy with the G7 leaders – and a tangible commitment of increased military support for Ukraine by the U.S. and other G7 countries.  With its position in the East China Sea, post-war democratic alliance…

  • Is Japan’s Approach to AI the Future of Global, Risk-based, Multistakeholder AI Governance?

    Of the many courses of action discussed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman when he testified before Congress earlier this week,  the creation of a global body to manage the governance of AI came up several times.   The International Atomic Energy Agency and  CERN were mentioned as models.   For now, the 2023 G7 Summit meeting in…

  • Security, Privacy and Interoperability: Blockchain-based Decentralized Identifiers 1.0

    In a previous post, we dissected  NIST’s white paper on Blockchain for Access Control Systems (NIST IR 8403) (1).  Both projects offer a great overview of the promise of blockchain technologies at the physical device layer and opportunities for the creative development of an innovative marketplace for novel defensive cybersecurity platforms. We will now take…

  • OpenAI, Hugging Face and DEFCON 31 (August 2023) on Red Teaming ChatGPT, Large Language Models, and Neural Language Models

    The OODA LLC team and members of the OODA Network have participated in or led hundreds of red teams across many divergent disciplines, ranging from strategic and tactical cyber to physical security threats – like infectious diseases or nuclear power plant targeting – to more abstract items like Joint Operating Concepts. We recently looked for…

  • Turla Disrupted: What Does That Mean for Russian Cyber Operations?

    On May 9, 2023, the U.S. Justice Department issued a press release that its Operation MEDUSA – along with allied country support – disrupted a Russian-operated global computer network infrastructure that has been conducting hostile cyber activities for nearly 20 years.  Attributed to Russia’s Federal Security Service’s (FSB) 16th Center, the activity dubbed “Turla” has implemented some of the…

  • Japan and the Future of Commercial Space

    Japan has entered the commercial space race, by way of the Tokyo-based space startup ispace, inc.  Following are details about the company in the run-up to its 2022 maiden mission in partnership with SpaceX: the launch of a lunar lander – the first by a commercial space company. 

  • NIST on Blockchain and Cybersecurity at the Physical Layer (Access Control Systems)

    In May of 2022, The National Institute of Standards and Technologies (NIST) released a white paper with a promising perspective on the role of blockchain at the OSI physical layer by way of access control systems. Meanwhile, The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) Identity of Things Working Group has been working with a…


OODAcasts

  • Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack is widely known in the cybersecurity world for his pioneering work on disclosing and discussing computer vulnerabilities (the CVE  (common vulnerabilities and exposures) list). He also helped formalize and train leading approaches to threat modeling and wrote the foundational book on the subject (Threat Modeling: Designing for Security). In this OODAcast we seek…

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

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