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  • Is a Surge in U.S. Defense Industrial Capacity Possible?

    A remarkably prescient CSIS report explores the premise that “it is no longer a question of whether the U.S. industrial base is prepared to rapidly surge production in the case of a direct conflict with a capable adversary—it is clear that it is not, and that is because the necessary investments have not yet been made…

  • Five More Reasons Japan Should be on Your Sensemaking Radar

    In addition to OODA Senior Advisor and OODA Network Member Chris Ward’s brilliant analysis of Japan’s Stunning Advancements in National Defense Investments, here are five additional geopolitical maneuvers and fiscal and industrial policy signals emanating from the East China Sea.

  • In an Open Letter, Tristan Harris, et. al. Call for a Pause on the Training of AI Systems More Powerful than GPT-4

    We take a look at the rrecent open letter  – with prominent signatories from the world of AI – based on its hard-to-ignore impact.  

  • Japan’s Stunning Advancements in National Defense Investments

    The Constitution of Japan dates to 1947, when General MacArthur and his staff created a post-war “Peace Constitution” that prohibited offensive Japanese military actions.  Constrained to a “self-defense force” focused solely on protecting the homeland, technologies and investments for pure “military” uses have not been possible.  Instead, Japan has relied heavily on the U.S.-Japan Alliance, depending on…

  • Bill Gates Weighs in on the Opportunities and Responsibilities of a ChatGPT-based AI Future

    As far as a “hype cycle meticulously intertwined with a true technology inflection point” – and the signal-to-noise ratio of it all – nothing quite matches this ChatGPT moment.  As Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates recently pointed out: “In my lifetime, I’ve seen two demonstrations of technology that struck me as revolutionary. The first time was in…

  • An International Cyber Court Is a Notional Exercise, not a Practical One

    A recent piece in an international political and policy journal raised the question if it was time to establish an International Cyber Court to address the most serious cyber crimes that pose a threat to the international community.  Although the article did not get into specifics, attacks against critical infrastructures or seriously adversely affect the political and/or economic…

  • The U.S. Turns Strategic Focus Towards Cyber Threat Vectors in Guam, Albania, and Costa Rica

    There are no coincidences:  The recent arrival of 4 B-52 bombers in Guam – along with the Marines and the official opening in January of a reactivated, expanded U.S. military base on the U.S. territory – might have something to do with a recent cyberattack on the mobile, television, internet, and telephone services of the…

  • CISA’s Pilot Ransomware Warning System and Pre-Ransomware Notification Initiative

    It has been one year since the Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act of 2022 (CIRCIA) was signed into law – and only a couple of weeks since the release of the 2023 National Cybersecurity Strategy. In the shadow of these cybersecurity milestones, this month CISA announced two major initiatives to address the ongoing,…

  • Executive Order Bans U.S. Government Use of Commercial Spyware

    On March 27th, the White House released an Executive Order on Prohibition on Use by the United States Government of Commercial Spyware that Poses Risks to National Security, “which has been in development for months, seeks to address a growing number of incidents of spyware abuse abroad as well as reports of it being used improperly…

  • A Complete Guide to The Pegasus Project, the NSO Group, and the Commercial Spyware Marketplace

    While the recent EO ban on commercial spyware use within the USG included a list of previous directives and legislative activity that lead to the issuance of the EO, the real back story is found at The Pegasus Project  – the global investigative reporting collaboration which broke the story on the NSO Group and the…


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