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Analysis

  • A Cyber United Nations?  No, But a Treaty Organization Is Needed After the Ukraine Conflict Ends

    The Ukraine crisis has revealed the willingness of state and nonstate actors to involve themselves in conducting attacks of various degrees of severity and frequency.  Notably, hacktivists and cybercriminal groups have joined the conflict extending beyond the borders of the two primary combatants, with cyber attacks targeting those governments and private sector organizations perceived to…

  • Semiconductor Supply Chain Espionage: Data Stolen from ASML’s Technical Repository for EUV Chip Machines

    Early in 2022, we added a fire at a factory in Berlin, Germany owned by ASML Holding to our list of variables that could tack the global chip supply disruption into a worst-case scenario.  ASML Holding’s plant in Berlin is the sole provider of vital technology used to manufacture computer chips (photolithography systems) and the…

  • Thomas Tull Chairs the $5 Billion US Innovative Technology Fund; Shield AI among Early Investments

    At OODAcon in October 2022, we identified over $15b being raised for new investment initiatives focused on national security and American competitiveness and we continue to cover those initiatives here.  This wave of speculative national security investment represents a new privatization of national security technology initiatives and will create a forcing function for the adoption…

  • The DoD Cyber Workforce Strategy: Deploying an Agile, Capable, and Ready Cyber Workforce

    Amidst our coverage of exponential technologies and national cognitive infrastructure protection, it is easy to take a purely technology-based perspective and neglect the human factor: the role of trained talent and future innovators in building the technology and platforms to solve the most pressing problems and address future risks, opportunities, and threats.  The OODA Loop…

  • Saudi Arabia and the Future of Money

    Once again, like the ongoing Water Wars in France, recent geopolitical maneuvers read like a lost chapter from the OODA Loop Urtext: Kim Stanley Robinson’s near-future science fiction masterpiece, The Ministry of the Future (TMoF). Recent reporting from Bitcoin.com and The Wall Street Journal on Saudi Arabia’s movement away from the U.S. dollar is an…

  • [Intellectual Property and Inventorship] + AI

    The United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), Department of Commerce, recently released a Request for Comments Regarding Artificial Intelligence and Inventorship.  As there are many inventors amongst us, as well as the role IP plays in a start-up exit or M&A and for governance and the boardroom, we are taking a look at the…

  • The Current Debate on ‘Forging the Defense Industrial Base for the Digital Age’

    Overall, the war in Ukraine has acted as an accelerant in a clash between a wide range of points of view in the debate surrounding the future of war and the future of the defense industrial base. A sampling of various voices on the issues is captured here which have been curated from an archive…

  • The Quad May Be Just the Thing to Apply to China’s Cyber Activities

    While there is nothing that will stop Chinese cyber operations, increased threat and intelligence information-sharing, remediation, attribution, and more importantly, disrupting its cyber networks might just be a successful combination to stem the flow.  And that just may be the very catalyst needed to rally other regional victims of Chinese cyber spying onboard to pushback…

  • Innovation in [X]+AI Applications

    About the OODA Loop [X]+AI Series: As a way of framing the headline-grabbing impact of ChatGPT moving forward, OODA Loop is taking a unique tack toward tracking and generating insights about the future of commercial AI and the societal impacts of the rapid adoption of AI-based platforms.

  • The Disintermediation and/or Self-cannibalization of the Defense Industrial Base

    Exponential Organizations’ (ExOs), platforms, ecosystems, and sources of new value creation are based on the disintermediation (innovation that undermines established or incumbent structures) of a market, organization, or industry sector. A strategic suggestion to organizations if they are experiencing disintermediation is to aggressively self-cannibalize, with ecosystems and platforms as the new value creation and capture…


OODAcasts

  • Lessons In Leadership From Ellen McCarthy and Her Journey From Junior Analyst To The Most Senior Echelons of the Intelligence Community

    Lessons In Leadership From Ellen McCarthy and Her Journey From Junior Analyst To The Most Senior Echelons of the Intelligence Community

    Ellen McCarthy is a highly accomplished and distinguished executive whose career started as a junior analyst and ended up reaching to the very highest echelons of the US intelligence community. In this OODAcast we explore lessons learned from her journey, capturing insights that can inform actions for those at any stage of a career. 

  • Blake Bartlett, CEO of Janes, On Leadership and Decision Making In The Modern Age

    Blake Bartlett, CEO of Janes, On Leadership and Decision Making In The Modern Age

    Blake Bartlett is the CEO of Janes, the well known and trusted provider of open source defense intelligence. In this OODAcast we examine lessons learned from Blake’s career and path from a young student with a desire for a career in sports to success in the domain of sales. Blakes walks us through some key…

  • Michele Wucker on Identifying and Confronting the Obvious Risks of Gray Rhinos

    Michele Wucker is specialist in risk management and crisis anticipation and is author of the book “The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore”. While we’ve all become familiar with Taleb’s concept of Black Swans, we must equally become intimately aquatinted with Wucker’s Gray Rhinos as they provide more…

  • Vikram Sharma, CEO of Quintessence Labs on Leadership in the Quantum Era

    Vikram Sharma, CEO of Quintessence Labs on Leadership in the Quantum Era

    Vikram Sharma is the founder and CEO of Canberra Australia based QuintessenceLabs. His company provides solutions based on quantum technology to strengthen cryptographic key creation and management at scale. This is an urgent need in this era of increasingly sophisticated cyberattacks, and key to protecting data now and into the future. In this OODAcast we…

  • Former CIA Officer Rob Richer on the Geopolitical Landscape, Leadership Lessons Learned, and Supporting Decision-makers

    Former CIA Officer Rob Richer on the Geopolitical Landscape, Leadership Lessons Learned, and Supporting Decision-makers

    Rob Richer is a highly regarded advisor to international executives and global government leaders including several heads of state. Rob has a well informed perspective on international risks and opportunities and an ability to analyze and distill observations in a way that is meaningful for your decision making process. In this OODAcast we cover the…

  • Camila Russo on Ethereum and the Future of Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
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    Camila Russo on Ethereum and the Future of Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

    This week’s OODAcast features an interview with Camila Russo, the author of the book “The Infinite Machine: How an Army of Crypto-hackers Is Building the Next Internet with Ethereum”. Camila is also the founder of the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) site The Defiant, which tracks developments, emerging trends, and news in the fast moving DeFi space.…

  • Will Hurd on Skills For Success In The Modern Age
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    Will Hurd on Skills For Success In The Modern Age

    Former Congressman Will Hurd joins us on this episode of OODACast to discuss what he has learned about business and entrepreneurship from a diverse career in the intelligence community, elected office and the private sector. Will has successfully leveraged the skills of a CIA operations officer in a variety of contexts, including the founding of…

  • Kathy and Randy Pherson, Authors of Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence
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    Kathy and Randy Pherson, Authors of Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence

    Kathy and Randy Pherson are authors of the book Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence. Both had successful careers in the US Intelligence Community. While they were at the CIA they pioneered new methods of risk analysis and analytical methods, and helped bring those methods to widespread adoption in the community. Both are also successful business…

  • Ric Prado on Intelligence Operations and a Legendary Career in the CIA

    Ric Prado on Intelligence Operations and a Legendary Career in the CIA

    Ric Prado has been described by CIA leadership as the closest thing to 007 that the United States has ever had. Ric’s life is packed with more adventure and operations than your favorite spy novel series. Coming out of the shadows, this is Ric’s first video interview and covers his career, operational decision-making lessons learned,…

  • Mischel Kwon, Founder and CEO of W@tchTower

    Mischel Kwon, Founder and CEO of W@tchTower

    In this OODAcast we interview Michel Kwon, the founder and CEO of W@tchTower. She is a leader who has proven herself through an ability to success in three different career fields, first as a developer and programmer creating enterprise grade solutions, then as a government executive who would eventually lead the United States Computer Emergency Readiness…

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