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Analysis

  • A Cyber United Nations?  No, But a Treaty Organization Is Needed After the Ukraine Conflict Ends

    The Ukraine crisis has revealed the willingness of state and nonstate actors to involve themselves in conducting attacks of various degrees of severity and frequency.  Notably, hacktivists and cybercriminal groups have joined the conflict extending beyond the borders of the two primary combatants, with cyber attacks targeting those governments and private sector organizations perceived to…

  • Semiconductor Supply Chain Espionage: Data Stolen from ASML’s Technical Repository for EUV Chip Machines

    Early in 2022, we added a fire at a factory in Berlin, Germany owned by ASML Holding to our list of variables that could tack the global chip supply disruption into a worst-case scenario.  ASML Holding’s plant in Berlin is the sole provider of vital technology used to manufacture computer chips (photolithography systems) and the…

  • Thomas Tull Chairs the $5 Billion US Innovative Technology Fund; Shield AI among Early Investments

    At OODAcon in October 2022, we identified over $15b being raised for new investment initiatives focused on national security and American competitiveness and we continue to cover those initiatives here.  This wave of speculative national security investment represents a new privatization of national security technology initiatives and will create a forcing function for the adoption…

  • The DoD Cyber Workforce Strategy: Deploying an Agile, Capable, and Ready Cyber Workforce

    Amidst our coverage of exponential technologies and national cognitive infrastructure protection, it is easy to take a purely technology-based perspective and neglect the human factor: the role of trained talent and future innovators in building the technology and platforms to solve the most pressing problems and address future risks, opportunities, and threats.  The OODA Loop…

  • Saudi Arabia and the Future of Money

    Once again, like the ongoing Water Wars in France, recent geopolitical maneuvers read like a lost chapter from the OODA Loop Urtext: Kim Stanley Robinson’s near-future science fiction masterpiece, The Ministry of the Future (TMoF). Recent reporting from Bitcoin.com and The Wall Street Journal on Saudi Arabia’s movement away from the U.S. dollar is an…

  • [Intellectual Property and Inventorship] + AI

    The United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), Department of Commerce, recently released a Request for Comments Regarding Artificial Intelligence and Inventorship.  As there are many inventors amongst us, as well as the role IP plays in a start-up exit or M&A and for governance and the boardroom, we are taking a look at the…

  • The Current Debate on ‘Forging the Defense Industrial Base for the Digital Age’

    Overall, the war in Ukraine has acted as an accelerant in a clash between a wide range of points of view in the debate surrounding the future of war and the future of the defense industrial base. A sampling of various voices on the issues is captured here which have been curated from an archive…

  • The Quad May Be Just the Thing to Apply to China’s Cyber Activities

    While there is nothing that will stop Chinese cyber operations, increased threat and intelligence information-sharing, remediation, attribution, and more importantly, disrupting its cyber networks might just be a successful combination to stem the flow.  And that just may be the very catalyst needed to rally other regional victims of Chinese cyber spying onboard to pushback…

  • Innovation in [X]+AI Applications

    About the OODA Loop [X]+AI Series: As a way of framing the headline-grabbing impact of ChatGPT moving forward, OODA Loop is taking a unique tack toward tracking and generating insights about the future of commercial AI and the societal impacts of the rapid adoption of AI-based platforms.

  • The Disintermediation and/or Self-cannibalization of the Defense Industrial Base

    Exponential Organizations’ (ExOs), platforms, ecosystems, and sources of new value creation are based on the disintermediation (innovation that undermines established or incumbent structures) of a market, organization, or industry sector. A strategic suggestion to organizations if they are experiencing disintermediation is to aggressively self-cannibalize, with ecosystems and platforms as the new value creation and capture…


OODAcasts

  • Simon Clark on Investigating the Key Man and a Billion Dollar Fraud

    Simon Clark on Investigating the Key Man and a Billion Dollar Fraud

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Pulitzer Prize nominated journalist Simon Clark about his book the “The Key Man: The True Story of How the Global Elite Was Duped by a Capitalist Fairy Tale “. The book tells the story of Arif Naqvi and his Dubai-based private-equity firm Abraaj and attracted he billions of dollars…

  • Charity Wright on China’s Digital Colonialism
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    Charity Wright on China’s Digital Colonialism

    Charity Wright is a Cyber Threat Intelligence Analyst with over 15 years of experience at the US Army and the National Security Agency, where she translated Mandarin Chinese. Charity now specializes in dark web cyber threat intelligence, counter-disinformation, and strategic intelligence at Recorded Future. Her analysis has provided deep insights into a variety of incidents,…

  • Jan Chipchase on Field Research for Actionable Insights

    Jan Chipchase on Field Research for Actionable Insights

    Jan Chipchase is the founder and director of Studio D Radiodurans, a research, design and innovation consultancy. He specializes in identifying nuanced patterns of human behavior. The insight it generates informs and inspires design, strategy, brand and public policy. Jan describes his work in design anthropology in terms of a satellite launched into space that…

  • Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations

    Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations

    Ben Dubow is CTO and founder of Omelas, a firm that provides data and analysis on how nations manipulate the web to achieve their geopolitical goals. He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having appeared on international media including Reuters, Bloomberg and Roll Call.…

  • Jahon Jamali On Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the Coming Metaverse

    Jahon Jamali is a leading expert on emerging technologies, global risk management and international relations. He began his career as a U.S. Intelligence Officer with the Defense Intelligence Agency. He also has extensive experience in the high tech community creating and growing startups through to successful exits. All this makes him an even more credible…

  • Maury Rogow: Every Corporation Will Have A Metaverse Strategy

    Maury Rogow: Every Corporation Will Have A Metaverse Strategy

    Maury Rogow builds a solid case that your brand will live or die based on the story you tell in the metaverse. Maury is a pioneer in applying the art of storytelling to convey the value of technology in the Internet age. He built a successful approach to storytelling that made direct contributions to the…

  • Alan Cohen of DCVC on Investing in Deep Tech For Humanity

    Alan Cohen of DCVC on Investing in Deep Tech For Humanity

    Alan Cohen is a partner at DCVC, a highly regarded venture capital firm who pioneered the concept of investing in Deep Tech. He has helped lead and grow some of the most influential enterprise IT companies in the world. We talk tech with Alan, and he is the perfect guy to examine some of the…

  • Digital Self Sovereignty and Avoiding the Long Night with John Robb

    Digital Self Sovereignty and Avoiding the Long Night with John Robb

    John is one of the most disruptive thinkers of our time and is capable of drilling down on critical issues like security, society, and technology with deep authority and insights. In this conversation we cover a lot of topics, including John’s concept of OODA Shear, data and digital self sovereignty, Afghanistan, AI, Bitcoin, and the…

  • Inman’s Rules: The Enduring Principles of Operational Intelligence

    Inman’s Rules: The Enduring Principles of Operational Intelligence

    Admiral Bobby Ray Inman retired from the US Navy in 1982. But his influence endures. His principles, which he codified into a list still exchanged among intelligence community leaders today, is now known as Inman’s Rules. In this OODAcast interview of Admiral Inman we review these rules, seeking insights into how they can be applied to…

  • The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks
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    The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks

    Bob Bigman spent a career in the intelligence community. He was the CISO of the CIA where he was tasked with leading efforts to protect the nation’s most sensitive secrets. Since 2012 he has provided direct consulting services to CISOs, CIOs, CTOs and CEOs seeking to reduce risk and improve security programs. Through it all…

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