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Among defense insiders, Millennium Challenge 2002 stands out as one of the most controversial red team exercises in American military history. MC2002 suspiciously resembled the looming invasion of Iraq, as it involved a conventional BLUE force facing RED military forces of a small Middle Eastern nation. In theory, either side could win the free play…
Mexico, and the cross-border region that embraces the frontier between Mexico and the United States, are embroiled in a series of interlocking, networked criminal insurgencies. These criminal insurgencies are essentially battles for dominance of the plazas, or corridors for the shipment of drugs into the United States. They are battles for profit and power. Cartels…
In Gaza, a tentative ceasefire has been declared. But the war in cyberspace continues. Israel and its adversaries have taken to the global cyber commons to wage cyberwar against each other, deploying crowdsourced information militias. The Israeli Consulate and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) extensively utilize Youtube and Twitter to make their case, boiling complicated…
Mexico is imploding in a series of interlocking ‘criminal insurgencies’ culminating in a virtual civil war. Kidnappings, assassinations, beheadings, shoot-outs: Mexico is gripped by combat between drug cartels, gangs and the police. Mexican President Felipe Calderon starkly states: “It’s a War.” The Drug War in Mexico has killed 6,836 people since January 2007. This year…
We are proud to feature this new paper by John Sullivan: Security and public safety agencies must address a range of current and emerging threats. These range from conflicts, strategic crime, terrorism, disease and natural hazards, as well as the confluence of any or all occurring at a given point in time. A range of…
Money quote from the Author’s Note: The unavoidable conclusion is that the U.S. government cannot continue to allow a collecting agency to make unilateral originator control determinations regarding the intelligence it collects. … I hope to explain why they are not in position to make the best “need to know” determinations – that decision must…
I used to wax and wane about the need to purge national security functionaries, but I’ve stopped waning, as my latest commentary at ThreatsWatch indicates.
(cross-posted at Haft of the Spear) I don’t get Insight Magazine so I don’t know the full story that goes along with this teaser: The U.S. intelligence community has assessed that Osama bin Laden has benefited from a secure haven in Pakistan that allows him to plan a major attack on the U.S. It took…
(Cross posted to Haft of the Spear) I engaged in several conversations about cyber threats this past week and each conversant repeated with certainty a lack of concern over a relationship between terrorists and mobsters in the virtual world. I’d like to think that an unholy alliance of that sort isn’t possible, but . .…
Love those tart cherries . . . As predicted, it turns out that the recently leaked NIE isn’t exactly the scathing indictment of current war/counterterrorism efforts as certain elements would have you believe. In fact just a few snippets of the rest of the story paint a much more interesting picture. Amazing thing context. Something…
Cross posted at Haft of the Spear As incoming Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates plots a fresh path through Iraq, he is also expected to chart a different course for Pentagon intelligence programs, rolling back some of Donald H. Rumsfeld’s aggressive expansion of intelligence operations that rankled agencies such as the CIA. You see these…
(cross-posted at Haft of the Spear) The Navy counter-intelligence officer who garnered a confession from Israeli spy Jonathon Pollard says that U.S. agencies missed a forest of red flags about him and risk repeating the same mistakes today they made more than 20 years ago. Olive’s book reveals that administrative convenience and bureaucratic bungling allowed…
My friend Matt (the other, more taciturn GroupIntel blogger) and I envisioned GroupIntel as a multi-faceted, multi-user environment for discussions and analysis on intelligence and security-related issues. For those who are not aware GI also includes a Wiki and discussion forum. Participation environment-wide has been small but productive and anyone (national, state, local or otherwise)…
Recent U.S. intelligence analyses of North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs were flawed and the lack of clarity on the issue hampered U.S. diplomatic efforts to avert the underground blast detected Sunday, according to Bush administration officials. Some recent secret reports stated that Pyongyang did not have nuclear arms and until recently was bluffing about…
The U.S. Treasury Department imposed new sanctions on firms suspected of engaging in gold dealings with the Wagner Group. The four companies are Midas Ressources SARLU (CAR), Diamville SAU (CAR), Industrial Resources General Trading (UAE), and Limited Liability Company DM (RUS). All are accused of working with Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin to maintain or expand…
Fortinet released updates to patch vulnerabilities in its FortiNAC network access control solution. The company described CVE-2023-33299 as a Java untrusted object deserialization that could allow unauthorized users to execute code or commands. The flaw is 9.6 out of 10 on the CVSS vulnerability matrix. The security flaw impacts all versions of FortiNAC 8.3, 8.5,…
Russia has commenced tactical fighter jet exercises over the Baltic Sea to test the readiness of flight crews for combat and special operations. The exercises involve firing from airborne weapons at cruise missiles and mock enemy aircraft, while Russian fighter pilots are on round-the-clock combat duty to protect Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave. Tensions have been escalating…
A joint investigation by BBC News Arabic and OCCRP has revealed new connections between the multi-billion dollar Captagon drug trade and leading members of the Syrian Armed Forces and President Bashar al-Assad’s family. Captagon, a highly addictive amphetamine-like drug, has spread from the Middle East to Europe, Africa, and Asia. Despite sanctions imposed on individuals…
The Israeli government has announced plans for 5,700 new homes in the occupied West Bank, despite US pressure to halt settlement expansion. The US expressed deep concern about the development, considering it an obstacle to peace with the Palestinians. Settler violence followed the recent shooting of four Israelis by Palestinians. The nationalist-religious coalition government aims…
Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the Wagner Group, has faced backlash from his mercenaries and their relatives following his decision to halt the march on Moscow and withdraw from Rostov. Messages on Telegram channels, popular among Wagner soldiers and pro-war circles in Russia, expressed anger and betrayal towards Prigozhin. Influencers who previously supported him remained…
The Hezbollah group in Lebanon says it has downed an Israeli drone in souther Lebanon near its border with Israel. The Iran-backed group shot down the drone as it crossed into Lebanese air space. The Israeli military said one if its drones fell into Lebanese territory during routine military activities. Tensions along the Lebanon-Israel border…
Microsoft detected a sharp increase in credential-stealing attacks from the Russian-affiliated group Midnight Blizzard. The group is also known as Nobelium, APT29, Cozy Bear, Iron Hemlock, and The Dukes. The attackers used residential proxy services to hide the source IP address of the attacks. The group targeted governments, IT service companies, NGOs, and defense and…
The Internet Systems Consortium (ISC) released multiple patches for denial-of-service (DoS) issues in DNS’s BIND software. The vulnerabilities could be utilized to overwhelm and crash named, BIND’s recursive resolver and authoritative name server. All vulnerabilities are fixed in BIND versions 9.16.42, 9.18.16, and 9.19.14, as well as BIND Supported Preview Edition versions 9.16.42-S1 and 9.18.16-S1.…
According to a senior Ukrainian defense official, Ukraine’s armed forces have halted a Russian offensive in the east of the country and are advancing in the south. The comments on Friday said the Russian offensive was advancing toward Kupiansk and Lyman. Ukraine is currently in the beginnings of its most ambitious counter attack since the…
The United Nations human rights chief has condemned Israel’s use of deadly force in a raid at the Jenin refugee camp that killed at least seven Palestinians. The raid was on Monday and was carried out to arrest two suspects. The UN human rights chief says the violence in the West Bank risks spiraling out…
Russia’s Security Council has alleged the West is trying to drive a wedge between Kazakhstan and Russia by interfering in the affairs of sovereign nations. The comments were published on Friday by Russia’s TASS news agency. Also on Friday, The Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev is visiting Kazakhstan to meet his counterparts from across the…
At least 227 migrants were rescued off Spain’s Canary Islands on Thursday, one day after 30 deaths of migrants were reported there. The Coast Guard saved the migrants traveling on inflatable boats near the Lanzarote and Gran Canaria islands in the Atlantic. A number of those rescued were taken to the hospital for mild conditions.…
The United Nations Special Rapporteur on the human rights situation in Myanmar, Thomas Andrews, has called for a reconsideration of the global approach to the crisis in Myanmar. He criticized the lack of progress in implementing the ASEAN five-point peace plan, which Myanmar’s military government has shown no willingness to implement. The military’s intensified efforts…