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Analysis

  • Sooner Rather Than Later

    The mailbag fills up early today: When are you neocons going to give up? 500 shells is not a WMD program! They are so old they probably wouldn’t even work! Even your own president doesn’t care! Dude, easy on the exclamation points . . . If your reading comprehension skills were up to snuff you’d…

  • Time to Vote Again

    . . . on NK launch / no launch / shoot-down options at GroupIntel Forums: http://groupintel.net/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/9901014161/m/7341046191

  • Book Review

    Monograph really. Judge Posner’s Remaking Domestic Intelligence. An excellent treatment of the subject. If it isn’t on Charlie Allen’s bookshelf it should be.

  • Techies: Pay Attention

    In a striking departure from the hush-hush culture of intelligence community IT, the CIO’s office for the Director of National Intelligence is running an open online forum about certification and accreditation issues, as well as other technology matters. It might not seem like it, but this is very, very important. It is probably the most…

  • So Many Lost Opportunities

    A perfectly good and entirely feasable idea via Bruce Schneier: There are a variety of encryption technologies that allow you to analyze data without knowing details of the data: I am reminded of the after-action meeting held after a major cyber threat event about, oh, eight years ago. In one room sat the working-level experts…

  • Mailbag

    Did you see Bruce’s post this morning? So much for your profiling argument. Which is what exactly? Were we to continue the parlor game of listing terrorist attacks and linking them to race or religion I’m fairly confident that there would be more tick marks in the swarthy-ethnic-man column than in the pissed-off-whitey column. In…

  • Going Purple

    As part of an effort to break down barriers between intelligence agencies, [Intelligence Community] employees will be required to serve tours of duty outside their home offices to qualify for promotion into the government’s senior ranks. A directive mandating “joint duty” assignments was recently issued by John D. Negroponte, the director of national intelligence. It…

  • For want of some OPSEC, a Jihad Lost

    I predict that US and coalition forces will be out of Iraq much sooner than anyone expects. I base this prediction in part on the intelligence and military aftermath following Abu Musab al-Zarqawi’s death; though not necessarily for the same reasons that other commentators have offered up. Frankly, I think al-Qaida in Iraq is too…

  • DOCEX Rocks

    Courtsey of Time (oddly enough): U.S. intelligence got its first inkling of the plot from the contents of a laptop computer belonging to a Bahraini jihadist captured in Saudi Arabia early in 2003. It contained plans for a gas-dispersal system dubbed “the mubtakkar” (Arabic for inventive). Fearing that al-Qaeda’s engineers had achieved the holy grail…

  • One more reason to hate Red Sox fans

    (H/T Bruce Schneier) Yet another disturbing story about DHS, the punch line being: Homeland Security, the $40-billion-a-year agency set up to combat terrorism after 9/11, has been given universal jurisdiction and can hold anyone on Earth for crimes unrelated to national security — even me for a court date I missed while I was in…


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  • OODAcon 2025

    OODAcon 2025

    We are in the planning stages of OODAcon 2025, which will be held 29 October 2025 at the Hyatt Regency Reston. For an overview of last year’s OODAcon see: OODAcon 2024 Welcome to OODAcon 2025

  • OODAcon 2023

    OODAcon 2023

    OODAcon 2023 October 25th – Reston, VA The anticipation of disruptive technologies has allure for those of us trying to develop informed strategies about the future, but what if those disruptive technologies already exist today? Our theme for this year’s OODAcon is FUTURE NOW as we focus on the technologies, ideas, and risks that exist right now…

  • OODAcon 2024

    OODAcon 2024

    The conference will feature an impressive lineup of speakers—pioneers who are steering the direction of their respective fields towards a unified vision of the future. OODAcon 2024 is your arena to witness, participate, and contribute to the dialogue that drives innovation forward. Join us in hacking the future, together, as we navigate the complexities of…