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Analysis

  • OODA CEO Matt Devost and OODA Network Members Review the OODA Almanac 2024 – Reorientation

    Every year, we also use one of our monthly meetings for a discussion of the annual OODA Almanac with the OODA Network.  This conversation took place at the February 2024 OODA Network Member Meeting – which was held on Friday 16, 2024.    

  • i-SOON Data Leak Is Interesting but Mostly Unsurprising

    The i-SOON leak tells us nothing new perhaps as much as solidify points that have long been suspected and acknowledged of Chinese cyber operations.  Beijing tasks out orders on areas of interest to a variety of collection means, much like any other government.  In this case, one company has been identified, and there are likely other companies…

  • Two Emergent and Sophisticated Approaches to LLM Implementation in Cybersecurity

    Google Security Engineering and The Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute in collaboration with OpenAI have sorted through the hype – and done some serious thinking and formal research on developing “better approaches for evaluating LLM cybersecurity” and AI-powered patching: the future of automated vulnerability fixes. This is some great formative framing of the challenges…

  • Two Chinese Supercomputers (with Mystery Hardware Components) Go Online

    Conspicuous, controversial and notorious is the Chinese unwillingness to participate in global benchmarking list of the world’s most powerful supercomputers.  So, the “top 500” list goes out – with the U.S. on top.  The lack of participation by the Chinese then fuels rumors that they in fact possess capabilities that transcend all the participants in…

  • Under Fire, CISA’s JCDC Continues Astride with 2024 Priorities

    We have been very vocal boosters of CISA,  the efforts of CISA leadership, and since its inception, the work of the Joint Cyber Defense Collaborative (JCDC). And we continue in our support of both organizations.  The Defenders have a tough mission.  In this post, however, we remain objective and sort out some of the recent…

  • The Future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Challenges and Opportunities

    The Congressional Research Service (CRS) is best in class research and analysis, judged against both public or private sector standards.  In a recent report, the CRS broke down the vital questions U.S. policymakers need to be asking vis a vis the future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base – questions which apply to all organizations…

  • Are Global Stressors and Bank Failures Considered Strategically Net Positive by Some Market Players?

    We take a look at the recently released Federal Reserve Board 2024 bank stress test scenarios, with an eye towards just how sensitive the stress tests are to disruptions and uncertainties created by exponential technologies – and how some disruptive markets see instability in the traditional banking system as a net positive for the strategic…

  • Microsoft and OpenAI Issue a Stark Report and a $10M Bounty from the State Department

    Competing cyber capabilities (on a spectrum from nation-state to non-state actors alike) and cyber-based conflict will continue to restructure, reformulate, and transform the very essence of what power, prestige, international governance, and geopolitical strategy are in the 21st century – and large language models are the new force multiplier.  Microsoft and OpenAI have quantified the…

  • Global AI Developers Need to Set Some Standards – Now

    Too many times the world has been caught flat-footed by technological advances.  With generative AI there has been ample expectation of its capabilities for both good and bad not to be prepared for what is already materializing.

  • Rice and Fertilizer are the Linchpins of Global Food Insecurity

    Recent restrictions on rice exports by India prompt this analysis of the on the ground conditions of global food insecurity, returning to some of the themes we explored in The Future of Food (In)Security and Agriculture Cybersecurity: Grain Hoarding, Rice Shortages and the War in Ukraine.  In 2024, we are on the lookout for technological…


OODAcasts

  • OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    OODA Expert John Robb on Global Guerrillas and Frameworks to Drive Decision Making

    There is hardly a person more suited to speak with the OODA team on OODA Loops that former Air Force pilot John Robb. John has worked successfully in a variety of domains to include the special operations community, as an industry analyst, successful start-up founder, and national security expert. John Robb has distinguished himself with…

  • Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    Bobbie Stempfley of Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute

    The leadership team at OODA have had the pleasure of working with and learning from Bobbie Stempfley since her leadership of the Department of Defense Computer Emergency Response Team (DoD CERT) after she established it in the late 1990’s. This OODAcast captures insights from Bobbie that can inform the action of leadership of corporate and…

  • Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder of USC Annenberg School For Communication and Journalism

    Marc Ambinder is a journalist, researcher, historian, author of bestselling books and a teacher/mentor to many. We invited him on the OODAcast to help our community as we continue to look for insights that can drive operational decisions. For 20 years, Marc Ambinder has told true and complex stories about the world, revealed some of its…

  • Peter Singer on Burn-In
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    Peter Singer on Burn-In

    Burn-In is anchored in the realities we see all around us today. Artificial Intelligence is coming fast and changing the nature of many jobs, robots and automation are bringing tremendous new capabilities but also threatening humanity with loss of employment opportunities. Parenting in a world where everyone, including kids, are always connected is already changing…

  • Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk
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    Congressman Will Hurd on AI, 5G, Cybersecurity Risk and Geopolitical Risk

    In this OODAcast, OODA LLC CEO Matt Devost interviews Congressman Will Hurd in a wide ranging discussion that touches on issues of geopolitical risk, cybersecurity, cyber risk and ways to help ensure our nation is prepared to compete and win in an age of rapid technological innovation. Quantum Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Advanced Communications (5G) and…

  • Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink of Palantir on Lessons Learned From Using Data In Crisis Response

    Robert Fink is on the leadership team at Palantir, where he has helped shape their approach to product design and architecture. He has also played major roles in ensuring the company stays focused on the mission needs of customers today, and, through shaping R&D, is helping ensure the company is better able to serve the…

  • JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    JC Raby On Creating Value in Disruptive Markets

    We invited Boston Merdian’s co-founder and partner JC Raby on to the OODAcast do discuss his insights into the market today as well as his views on things companies can do to ensure they position themselves for the best possible transaction in the future. We also asked his advice for the strategic investor/buyer of firms…

  • Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Renowned Business Executive Scott McNealy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, On Leadership

    Scott McNealy was a co-founder and CEO of Sun Microsystems and has one of the longest-running tenures as the CEO of a Fortune 500 company in history. He was one of the few businessmen that played a critical role in the emergence of the Silicon Valley technology industry that exists today and is a highly…

  • CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    CEO of Percipient Balan Ayyar on the OODA Loop in Business

    Balan Ayyar is the Founder and CEO of Percipient.ai, a Silicon Valley based artificial intelligence firm focused on delivering products and solutions for the most pressing intelligence and national security challenges. We have been tracking this leader for years and have watched him inspire many to achieve great things. His leadership in senior officer roles…

  • Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Expert Practitioner of Analysis Carmen Medina on Mental Models and Cognitive Bias

    Carmen Medina served 32 years in senior positions at the Central Intelligence Agency, most of which focused on one of the hardest tasks in the community, that of analysis. Carmen rose to lead the strategic assessments group for the agency, then was deputy director of intelligence, the most senior leadership position for analysis at the…

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