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Analysis

  • The Defense Intelligence Agency on the Iranian-backed Drone Power of Russia and the Houthis

    Two recently declassified Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) reports extensively detail the Iranian-backed drone capabilities fueling the reconfiguration of global warfare into a drone swarm architecture – fueling what John Robb has framed as the future:  asymmetric, non-nation-state kinetic capabilities organized into drone swarms enhancing the ability for warfighting capabilities “networked tribes” and “global guerrillas” usurping…

  • By 2026, Online Content Generated by Non-humans Will Vastly Outnumber Human Generated Content

    As an OODAcon 2023 panelist noted:  We are fast approaching a “tipping point” – when non-human generated content will vastly outnumber the amount of human generated content. A general quantitative validation has also been floating around: “90% of Online Content will be AI-generated by 2026”. We took the time to validate this quant and flesh…

  • Reorient Your Organization: Scenarios Exploring a Quantum Attack on Critical U.S. Power Grid Infrastructure

    The Hudson Institute report on “Risking Apocalypse? Quantum Computers and the US Power Grid” highlights the significant threat posed by potential quantum computer attacks on the US power grid. It emphasizes the vulnerability of the grid to such attacks, which could decrypt existing encryption systems and cause catastrophic outcomes. As we navigate the complexities of…

  • OODA CEO Matt Devost and OODA Network Members Review the OODA Almanac 2024 – Reorientation

    Every year, we also use one of our monthly meetings for a discussion of the annual OODA Almanac with the OODA Network.  This conversation took place at the February 2024 OODA Network Member Meeting – which was held on Friday 16, 2024.    

  • i-SOON Data Leak Is Interesting but Mostly Unsurprising

    The i-SOON leak tells us nothing new perhaps as much as solidify points that have long been suspected and acknowledged of Chinese cyber operations.  Beijing tasks out orders on areas of interest to a variety of collection means, much like any other government.  In this case, one company has been identified, and there are likely other companies…

  • Two Emergent and Sophisticated Approaches to LLM Implementation in Cybersecurity

    Google Security Engineering and The Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute in collaboration with OpenAI have sorted through the hype – and done some serious thinking and formal research on developing “better approaches for evaluating LLM cybersecurity” and AI-powered patching: the future of automated vulnerability fixes. This is some great formative framing of the challenges…

  • Two Chinese Supercomputers (with Mystery Hardware Components) Go Online

    Conspicuous, controversial and notorious is the Chinese unwillingness to participate in global benchmarking list of the world’s most powerful supercomputers.  So, the “top 500” list goes out – with the U.S. on top.  The lack of participation by the Chinese then fuels rumors that they in fact possess capabilities that transcend all the participants in…

  • Under Fire, CISA’s JCDC Continues Astride with 2024 Priorities

    We have been very vocal boosters of CISA,  the efforts of CISA leadership, and since its inception, the work of the Joint Cyber Defense Collaborative (JCDC). And we continue in our support of both organizations.  The Defenders have a tough mission.  In this post, however, we remain objective and sort out some of the recent…

  • The Future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Challenges and Opportunities

    The Congressional Research Service (CRS) is best in class research and analysis, judged against both public or private sector standards.  In a recent report, the CRS broke down the vital questions U.S. policymakers need to be asking vis a vis the future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base – questions which apply to all organizations…

  • Are Global Stressors and Bank Failures Considered Strategically Net Positive by Some Market Players?

    We take a look at the recently released Federal Reserve Board 2024 bank stress test scenarios, with an eye towards just how sensitive the stress tests are to disruptions and uncertainties created by exponential technologies – and how some disruptive markets see instability in the traditional banking system as a net positive for the strategic…


OODAcasts

  • Decision-Making and Deep Tech with Laura Thomas: Insights from a Former CIA Officer
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    Decision-Making and Deep Tech with Laura Thomas: Insights from a Former CIA Officer

    In this episode of OODAcast, Bob Gourley interviews Laura Thomas, a deep tech consultant and former CIA officer. Laura discusses her journey from a small town in North Carolina to a career in the CIA, where she served as a case officer. She emphasizes the importance of critical thinking and decision-making under uncertainty, and how…

  • Leading Cyber Change: Allan Friedman on the Revolution of SBOM & Future Cybersecurity Initiatives

    Leading Cyber Change: Allan Friedman on the Revolution of SBOM & Future Cybersecurity Initiatives

    Allan Friedman is a senior strategist at CISA (the Cyber Security and Infrastructure Security Agency) where he coordinates all of their cross-sector activities on the topic of SBOM: The Software Bill of Materials.

  • Joe Sullivan on Managing Complex Security Challenges

    Joe Sullivan on Managing Complex Security Challenges

    Joe Sullivan has been at the forefront of managing security risk in rapidly growing high tech companies over the past 20 years serving as the Chief Security Officer at Facebook from early start-up through the IPO, CSO of Uber and CloudFlare, and as a security leader at eBay/PayPal. Learn what motivates him and some of…

  • Joe Tranquillo on the Revolution in Biological Science
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    Joe Tranquillo on the Revolution in Biological Science

    Joe Tranquillo is a Professor of Biomedical Engineering at Bucknell University and a provost at the school. He is also and author and speaker with a knack for helping make new and at times complex subjects understandable. In this OODAcast we discuss many aspects of the revolution in biological sciences with Joe including topics like:…

  • MITRE Futurist Charles Clancy on our Quantum Enabled Future

    MITRE Futurist Charles Clancy on our Quantum Enabled Future

    Charles Clancy has successfully led technology efforts in government, industry, academia and continues to lead and innovate in his current position as Senior Vice President and GM of MITRE Labs. He is MITRE’s Chief Futurist. His role in technology leadership and his tracking of tech across multiple domains made for an incredibly insightful OODAcast. We…

  • Mark McGrath: John Boyd Is Far More Than The OODA Loop

    Mark McGrath: John Boyd Is Far More Than The OODA Loop

    Mark McGrath has applied the teachings of John Boyd to a career that began in the Marine Corps, included leadership positions in financial services firms and consulting with businesses with a need to learn to thrive in volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) environments. He co-founded the consultancy AGLX and serves as its Chief Learning…

  • Serene – The Hacker Pianist Saving Cyberspace

    Serene – The Hacker Pianist Saving Cyberspace

    Serene is a hacker in the truest sense of the word. She’s applied a hacker mindset to learn coding, piano, and blend art and engineering in fascinating ways. You’ll find her collaborating on-stage with Grimes one night and coding censorship resistant technologies the next day. As a self-taught coder she was the first engineer hired…

  • Andy Bochman on Countering Cyber Sabotage

    Andy Bochman on Countering Cyber Sabotage

    Andy Bochman is the Senior Grid Strategist-Defender for Idaho National Laboratory’s National and Homeland Security directorate. In this role, Andy provides strategic guidance on topics at the intersection of grid security and climate resilience to INL leadership as well as senior U.S. and international government and industry leaders. Andy is a frequent speaker, writer, and trainer…

  • Spencer Ante on Creative Capital and Disruptive Innovation

    Spencer Ante on Creative Capital and Disruptive Innovation

    Spencer Ante is the author or “Creative Capital: Georges Doriot and the Birth of Venture Capital”, which was on my Top 10 book list for 2022. In fact, I found Doriot’s story so compelling that a portrait of him hangs on the wall at the Hack Factory start-up studio in Reston, VA. Doriot is a…

  • Bob Zukis and the Digital Directors Network: Helping corporate boards mitigate systemic risk

    Bob Zukis and the Digital Directors Network: Helping corporate boards mitigate systemic risk

    Bob Zukis is a man on a mission to improve the ability of corporate America to succeed in a complex digital world, even when under constant cyber attack. Bob is the CEO and founder of the Digital Directors Network, the global pioneer in helping corporate directors advance their understanding of systemic risk. We consider Bob…

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