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  • The Defense Intelligence Agency on the Iranian-backed Drone Power of Russia and the Houthis

    Two recently declassified Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) reports extensively detail the Iranian-backed drone capabilities fueling the reconfiguration of global warfare into a drone swarm architecture – fueling what John Robb has framed as the future:  asymmetric, non-nation-state kinetic capabilities organized into drone swarms enhancing the ability for warfighting capabilities “networked tribes” and “global guerrillas” usurping…

  • By 2026, Online Content Generated by Non-humans Will Vastly Outnumber Human Generated Content

    As an OODAcon 2023 panelist noted:  We are fast approaching a “tipping point” – when non-human generated content will vastly outnumber the amount of human generated content. A general quantitative validation has also been floating around: “90% of Online Content will be AI-generated by 2026”. We took the time to validate this quant and flesh…

  • Reorient Your Organization: Scenarios Exploring a Quantum Attack on Critical U.S. Power Grid Infrastructure

    The Hudson Institute report on “Risking Apocalypse? Quantum Computers and the US Power Grid” highlights the significant threat posed by potential quantum computer attacks on the US power grid. It emphasizes the vulnerability of the grid to such attacks, which could decrypt existing encryption systems and cause catastrophic outcomes. As we navigate the complexities of…

  • OODA CEO Matt Devost and OODA Network Members Review the OODA Almanac 2024 – Reorientation

    Every year, we also use one of our monthly meetings for a discussion of the annual OODA Almanac with the OODA Network.  This conversation took place at the February 2024 OODA Network Member Meeting – which was held on Friday 16, 2024.    

  • i-SOON Data Leak Is Interesting but Mostly Unsurprising

    The i-SOON leak tells us nothing new perhaps as much as solidify points that have long been suspected and acknowledged of Chinese cyber operations.  Beijing tasks out orders on areas of interest to a variety of collection means, much like any other government.  In this case, one company has been identified, and there are likely other companies…

  • Two Emergent and Sophisticated Approaches to LLM Implementation in Cybersecurity

    Google Security Engineering and The Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute in collaboration with OpenAI have sorted through the hype – and done some serious thinking and formal research on developing “better approaches for evaluating LLM cybersecurity” and AI-powered patching: the future of automated vulnerability fixes. This is some great formative framing of the challenges…

  • Two Chinese Supercomputers (with Mystery Hardware Components) Go Online

    Conspicuous, controversial and notorious is the Chinese unwillingness to participate in global benchmarking list of the world’s most powerful supercomputers.  So, the “top 500” list goes out – with the U.S. on top.  The lack of participation by the Chinese then fuels rumors that they in fact possess capabilities that transcend all the participants in…

  • Under Fire, CISA’s JCDC Continues Astride with 2024 Priorities

    We have been very vocal boosters of CISA,  the efforts of CISA leadership, and since its inception, the work of the Joint Cyber Defense Collaborative (JCDC). And we continue in our support of both organizations.  The Defenders have a tough mission.  In this post, however, we remain objective and sort out some of the recent…

  • The Future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Challenges and Opportunities

    The Congressional Research Service (CRS) is best in class research and analysis, judged against both public or private sector standards.  In a recent report, the CRS broke down the vital questions U.S. policymakers need to be asking vis a vis the future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base – questions which apply to all organizations…

  • Are Global Stressors and Bank Failures Considered Strategically Net Positive by Some Market Players?

    We take a look at the recently released Federal Reserve Board 2024 bank stress test scenarios, with an eye towards just how sensitive the stress tests are to disruptions and uncertainties created by exponential technologies – and how some disruptive markets see instability in the traditional banking system as a net positive for the strategic…


OODAcasts

  • Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack on Cybersecurity and What Every Engineer Should Learn From Star Wars

    Adam Shostack is widely known in the cybersecurity world for his pioneering work on disclosing and discussing computer vulnerabilities (the CVE  (common vulnerabilities and exposures) list). He also helped formalize and train leading approaches to threat modeling and wrote the foundational book on the subject (Threat Modeling: Designing for Security). In this OODAcast we seek…

  • Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby on How Venture Capitalists and Hedge Funds Achieve Success

    Sebastian Mallaby joined the OODAcast for a discussion about the Power Law in venture capital and the rise of the global hedge fund and private equity industries.

  • Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Former Head of National Intelligence Council Neil Wiley on Intelligence Analysis

    Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community’s most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the…

  • Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    Michael Gibson Wants to Light the Paper Belt on Fire

    This OODAcast features a fascinating conversation with Michael Gibson, the author of the book “Paper Belt on Fire” who is also the co-founder of the Thiel Fellowship program and the 1517 Fund, both of which focus on identifying unconventional ideas and individuals that can drive disruptive innovation in technology, arts, and science.

  • Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful
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    Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

    In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal…

  • Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    Jen Hoar on Corporate Intelligence and Investigations

    In this OODAcast we interview one of our close friends and OODA network members, Jen Hoar. Jen is a former journalist-turned-corporate investigator who has leveraged the potent act of asking, and listening, to turn strangers into sources and contacts into clients. Her expertise, which is clearly also her passion, is identifying and interviewing smart people…

  • Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism
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    Joseph Menn on Observations From Tech Journalism

    Covering technology issues, and specifically cybersecurity as a journalist is a tough endeavor. Some of these technologies are complex as are the security vulnerabilities often inherent in their deployment and making these topics broadly accessible can be a challenge. Many of the underlying issues touch upon national security and civil liberties creating an interesting nexus…

  • Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman on Assessing the Business Impact of Quantum Technologies

    Lawrence Gasman has researched and reported on quantum technologies from the beginning of the discipline of quantum computing. He is now the President of Inside Quantum Technology (IQT), which provides in-depth business intelligence for the quantum technology industry. IQT also runs several major quantum technology conferences as well as a quantum industry news service. On…

  • 100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    100 Episodes of OODAcast: Providing actionable insights for future risks and opportunities.

    In 2020, we launched the OODAcast video and podcast series designed to provide insightful analysis and actionable intelligence to decision makers. In this 100th episode, co-hosts Matt Devost and Bob Gourley review some of the key insights from the series. Matt and Bob also discuss a OODA’s recent assessment of risks and opportunities given the…

  • David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets

    While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing…

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