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Category: Business

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Keyword: China

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Author: OODA Analyst

Exponential innovation is causing exponential disruption

Analysis

  • By 2026, Online Content Generated by Non-humans Will Vastly Outnumber Human Generated Content

    As an OODAcon 2023 panelist noted:  We are fast approaching a “tipping point” – when non-human generated content will vastly outnumber the amount of human generated content. A general quantitative validation has also been floating around: “90% of Online Content will be AI-generated by 2026”. We took the time to validate this quant and flesh…

  • Reorient Your Organization: Scenarios Exploring a Quantum Attack on Critical U.S. Power Grid Infrastructure

    The Hudson Institute report on “Risking Apocalypse? Quantum Computers and the US Power Grid” highlights the significant threat posed by potential quantum computer attacks on the US power grid. It emphasizes the vulnerability of the grid to such attacks, which could decrypt existing encryption systems and cause catastrophic outcomes. As we navigate the complexities of…

  • OODA CEO Matt Devost and OODA Network Members Review the OODA Almanac 2024 – Reorientation

    Every year, we also use one of our monthly meetings for a discussion of the annual OODA Almanac with the OODA Network.  This conversation took place at the February 2024 OODA Network Member Meeting – which was held on Friday 16, 2024.    

  • i-SOON Data Leak Is Interesting but Mostly Unsurprising

    The i-SOON leak tells us nothing new perhaps as much as solidify points that have long been suspected and acknowledged of Chinese cyber operations.  Beijing tasks out orders on areas of interest to a variety of collection means, much like any other government.  In this case, one company has been identified, and there are likely other companies…

  • Two Emergent and Sophisticated Approaches to LLM Implementation in Cybersecurity

    Google Security Engineering and The Carnegie Mellon University Software Engineering Institute in collaboration with OpenAI have sorted through the hype – and done some serious thinking and formal research on developing “better approaches for evaluating LLM cybersecurity” and AI-powered patching: the future of automated vulnerability fixes. This is some great formative framing of the challenges…

  • Two Chinese Supercomputers (with Mystery Hardware Components) Go Online

    Conspicuous, controversial and notorious is the Chinese unwillingness to participate in global benchmarking list of the world’s most powerful supercomputers.  So, the “top 500” list goes out – with the U.S. on top.  The lack of participation by the Chinese then fuels rumors that they in fact possess capabilities that transcend all the participants in…

  • Under Fire, CISA’s JCDC Continues Astride with 2024 Priorities

    We have been very vocal boosters of CISA,  the efforts of CISA leadership, and since its inception, the work of the Joint Cyber Defense Collaborative (JCDC). And we continue in our support of both organizations.  The Defenders have a tough mission.  In this post, however, we remain objective and sort out some of the recent…

  • The Future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Challenges and Opportunities

    The Congressional Research Service (CRS) is best in class research and analysis, judged against both public or private sector standards.  In a recent report, the CRS broke down the vital questions U.S. policymakers need to be asking vis a vis the future of the U.S. Defense Industrial Base – questions which apply to all organizations…

  • Are Global Stressors and Bank Failures Considered Strategically Net Positive by Some Market Players?

    We take a look at the recently released Federal Reserve Board 2024 bank stress test scenarios, with an eye towards just how sensitive the stress tests are to disruptions and uncertainties created by exponential technologies – and how some disruptive markets see instability in the traditional banking system as a net positive for the strategic…

  • Microsoft and OpenAI Issue a Stark Report and a $10M Bounty from the State Department

    Competing cyber capabilities (on a spectrum from nation-state to non-state actors alike) and cyber-based conflict will continue to restructure, reformulate, and transform the very essence of what power, prestige, international governance, and geopolitical strategy are in the 21st century – and large language models are the new force multiplier.  Microsoft and OpenAI have quantified the…

OODAcasts

  • The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks
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    The Man Who Protects Our Secrets: Bob Bigman on Mitigating Enterprise Risks

    Bob Bigman spent a career in the intelligence community. He was the CISO of the CIA where he was tasked with leading efforts to protect the nation’s most sensitive secrets. Since 2012 he has provided direct consulting services to CISOs, CIOs, CTOs and CEOs seeking to reduce risk and improve security programs. Through it all…

  • Randall Fort on The Future of the Metaverse And Its Cybersecurity and Intelligence Implications
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    Randall Fort on The Future of the Metaverse And Its Cybersecurity and Intelligence Implications

    In this OODAcast we glean lessons learned and insights into the future of the Metaverse and its implications from Randall Fort. Fort is a seasoned security, intelligence and technology leader known for his grasp of enterprise mission needs and his ability to track the rapid advancing capabilities of technology to meet those needs. His background…

  • Amr Awadallah On The Biggest Challenges And Opportunities in Enterprise IT Today

    Amr Awadallah On The Biggest Challenges And Opportunities in Enterprise IT Today

    In this OODAcast we examine lessons learned as a startup founder and insights into the future of technology with Amr Awadallah. Amr Awadallah is widely known as a founder of Cloudera. Prior to that he was working on extreme scale data solutions for Yahoo. Most recently he was VP for Developer Relations at Google Cloud.…

  • Sir David Omand on Leveraging How Spies Think In Our Business and Personal Lives
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    Sir David Omand on Leveraging How Spies Think In Our Business and Personal Lives

    Sir David Omand is one of the most respected intelligence professionals in the world and author of the book How Spies Think: Ten lessons in intelligence. His career in intelligence began shortly after graduating from Cambridge in 1969 when he joined the UK’s GCHQ (Government Communications Headquarters). He would later become the director of GCHQ.…

  • Jessica Gulick: An accomplished cybersecurity practitioner turned CEO on future focused leadership

    Jessica Gulick: An accomplished cybersecurity practitioner turned CEO on future focused leadership

    Jessica Gulick is widely known for her leadership of the successful growth strategy and marketing firm Katzcy. She is also the Commissioner of the US Cyber Games, a multi-phased cybersecurity program recruiting a US Cyber Team for international competition. She is also the founder of PlayCyber, a new business line promoting cyber games and tournaments.…

  • Lance Mortlock On Scenario Planning to Drive Strategic Decisions

    Lance Mortlock On Scenario Planning to Drive Strategic Decisions

    Lance Mortlock is a Senior EY Strategy Partner. He is author of the book Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for Post Pandemic Future, which explores ways scenario planning can help organizations be more resilient. This is a must-read book for anyone in the Risk Management field. It provides practical advice for strategists, planners, executives and board…

  • Jer Thorp on Living in Data and Creating Better Futures

    Jer Thorp on Living in Data and Creating Better Futures

    Each year, there are one or two books that deeply resonate with me and become sticky in that I’m thinking about the book often, bringing it up in conversations, and sending out unsolicited recommendations for executives and researchers in my network to check it out. Jer Thorp’s “Living in Data: A Citizen’s Guide to a…

  • Tony Tether On Technology Leadership and Lessons Learned From DARPA

    Tony Tether On Technology Leadership and Lessons Learned From DARPA

    Dr. Tony Tether was the director of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, DARPA, from 2001 till his retirement in 2009. In this OODAcast we examine some of Dr. Tether’s formative experiences, including a very unique job he held while awaiting entry to Stanford. He was a door to door salesman and while doing that…

  • Cofer Black on Leadership Lessons Learned and Speaking Truth to Power

    Cofer Black on Leadership Lessons Learned and Speaking Truth to Power

    In this OODAcast, we talk with renowned counter-terrorism expert and career clandestine services professional Cofer Black. Cofer is best known for having been the Director of the CIA’s Counterterrorism Center on 9/11 and having been part of the intelligence community warning about the near-term threat of terrorism in the United States prior to the attacks.…

  • Gaurav Banga On Mitigating Cyber Threats Through Deep Insight Into Things That Matter Most

    Gaurav Banga On Mitigating Cyber Threats Through Deep Insight Into Things That Matter Most

    Gaurav Banga is the Founder and CEO of Balbix, and serves on the boards of several companies. Before Balbix, Gaurav was the Co-founder & CEO of Bromium and led the company from inception for over 5 years. Earlier in his career, he served in various executive roles at Phoenix Technologies and Intellisync Corporation, and was…

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