AI, machine learning, and data science will be used to create some of the most compelling technological advancements of the next decade. The OODA team will continue to expand our reporting on AI issues.
Recent OODA analysis on Artificial Intelligence:
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The MIT AI Policy Forum (AIPF) is a global initiative at The MIT Schwarzman College of Computing, which was launched in 2018. The Blackstone Group Chairman Stephen A. Schwarzman, donated $350 million of the $1.1 billion of funding committed to the school, which is the “single largest investment in computing and AI by an American…
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Introduction The megatrend of Artificial Intelligence is transforming the algorithms of business in exciting ways. This reference, aimed at the business decision-maker, will help you make the most of AI in your organization. It provides clear articulations of fundamental concepts, succinct examples of highly impactful use cases, and tips you can put in place to…
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In the recent paper “Prediction and Judgment: Why Artificial Intelligence Increases the Importance of Humans in War” the OODA loop is referenced in the following manner: “Feedback from actions produces more data, which can be used for more predictions and decisions or to reinterpret judgment. The so-called OODA loop in military doctrine captures the same…
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OODA CTO Bob Gourley recently provided a discussion of the potential impacts and use cases of improved natural language processing (NLP), in which he highlighted the major developments in computer language understanding in a way that can help enterprise and government leaders better prepare to take action on these incredible new capabilities. Major improvements in…
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Our Artificial Intelligence tracking, research, and analysis fall into four categories: Surfacing business strategy insights based on current AI capabilities; Tracking Responsible and Ethical AI frameworks and projects; Exponential technologies, including AI, and Great Power competition; and tracking AI applied technology in various industry verticals (along with market drivers). Following are some general AI research…
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AI technologies are making continuous advances in domains like industrial robotics, logistics, speech recognition and translation, banking, medicine and advanced scientific research. But in almost every case, the cutting edge AI that drives the advances drops from attention, becoming almost invisible when it becomes part of the overall system. The fact that most AI use…
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OpenAI released GPT-3 in June of 2020 – and the results were instantly compelling. By 2021, the MIT Technology Review was proclaiming OpenAI’s GPT-3 “a big step toward AI that can understand and interact with the human world.” It has since commercialized in collaboration with Microsoft. In response, EleutherAI – a self-described “grassroots collective of researchers…
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For better or for worse, Large Language Models (LLMs) – used for natural language processing by commercial AI Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) subscription offerings – have become one of the first “big data” applied technologies to become a crossover hit in the AI marketplace. OpenAI, a San Francisco-based research and deployment company, released GPT-3 in June of…
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Whether you are just overwhelmed with data or just curious about what you will learn, you may be feeling the impulse to jump on the artificial intelligence (AI) bandwagon. Before you go too far down the road, please consider this Top 10 list of the most common mistakes managers make when building an AI project.…
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Part II of the Center for Security and Emerging Technologies (CSET) series is available which “examines how AI/ML technologies may shape future disinformation campaigns and offers recommendations for how to mitigate them.” We offered an analysis of Part I of the series (CSET Introduces a “Disinformation Kill Chain”) earlier this month. Disinformation is not new,…
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Dr. Kathleen H. Hicks, Deputy Secretary of Defense, released a memorandum yesterday establishing the new Chief Digital and AI Officer (CDAO): “…effective February 1, 2022, there will be within the Office of the Secretary of Defense a new position of Chief Digital and AI Officer (CDAO), reporting directly to me and through me to the…
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NATO’s release in October of its first-ever strategy for artificial intelligence is primarily concerned with the impact AI will have on the NATO core commitments of collective defense, crisis management, and cooperative security. Worth a deeper dive is a framework within the overall NATO AI Strategy, which mirrors that of the DoD Joint Artificial Intelligence…
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In late October, The National Counterintelligence and Security Center (NCSC) issued a report warning of China’s goal to achieve a technological advantage over the U.S. in certain key emerging technologies. Beijing’s long-term goal is a strategic advantage over the U.S. and its security interests by 2030 in areas such as biotechnology, genomic technology, artificial intelligence,…
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Disaster conditions will clearly be more impactful and more frequent due to the impact of climate change. The domestic terrorism threat stateside is becoming a constant, with the impact and frequency of growing domestic U.S. political instability and public safety incidents to be determined. We will need systems that are monitoring these temporal, ephemeral ecosystems…
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The U.S. is in a struggle to maintain its dominance in air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace over countries with capabilities increasingly on par in all domains with that of the U.S. In addition, information (in all its forms) is the center of gravity of a broad set of challenges faced by the United States.…
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An artificial intelligence security strategy (see “Securing AI – Four Areas to Focus on Right Now”) should be the cornerstone of any AI and machine learning (ML) efforts within your enterprise. We also recently outlined the need for enterprises to further operationalize the logging and analysis of artificial intelligence (AI) related accidents and incidents based on an “AI Accidents”…
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The Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) currently uses an old system called the Modernized Intelligence Database (MIDB) to store and retrieve information on foreign intelligence – everything from Country order-of-battles (tanks, airplanes, etc.), infrastructures (runways, ports, etc.) to general foreign military capabilities. They will replace it with a system called the Machine-Assisted Analytic Rapid-Repository System (MARS).…
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In an article entitled “The international environment and countermeasures of network governance during the “14th Five-Year Plan” period” by Xu Xiujun (徐秀军) in the February 27, 2021 edition of China Information Security, we see the continuation of China’s concerns over Weaponized Interdependence and China’s desire to shape a global technology and economic environment that is…
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As a logger and holstein farmer, my grandfather was heavily dependent on the weather for his livelihood. Each year, he purchased a copy of the Old Farmer’s Almanac and it was kept in an easily accessible reading spot for reference. Taken on a day by day basis, the Farmer’s Almanac was not the greatest of…
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CNO NAVPLAN 2021 was released by the Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), ADM GILDAY, on 11 JAN. This Navigation Plan is basically the execution plan of the Advantages at Sea Tri-Service Maritime Strategy released last month. The Navy examines their current challenges and lays out four focus priorities: readiness, capabilities, capacity and Sailors. It begins…
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The Top 10 Security, Technology, and Business Books of the year is a list compiled by OODA CEO Matt Devost and is typically one of the most popular posts on the site every year. This year, an eclectic list that takes care to avoid pandemic related topics and features some deep cuts that you won’t…
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Prize Challenges have been growing in popularity as the Government tries to get out from under their cumbersome, innovation-sapping Federal Acquisition Regulations. Recently, the US Navy has seen some excellent success with their Artificial Intelligence Applications to Autonomous Cybersecurity (IA ATAC) Challenge. Anyone over 18 years of age, who is a US citizen, can participate. …
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What if future historians consider the big event of 2020 to be the time that AI was proven to be better than humans at Air to Air combat? It has just done that, and this demonstration via simulators will no doubt accelerate AI research in ways that has an impact on a broad range of…
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The megatrends of Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Mobility, Big Data, Robotics, IoT and Cybersecurity are interacting together in ways that will deliver great new capabilities to the enterprise. But there are risks as well. Studying the future of these megatrends will help enterprises make optimal decisions today. This video provides a concise overview of these…
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The security and ethics of AI are one of the hottest topics in the AI domain today. The security framework presented here can be immediately applied to any AI solution to accelerate its use in your enterprise.
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This video provides succinct context on technology companies fielding solutions to help address key concerns in the area of AI security and AI ethics. We produced this presentation for OODA members based on our own continuous market research that includes tracking VC investment and engaging with the community via AI related events but also our…
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For many organizations, the pacing factor in the deployment of Artificial Intelligence solutions is not the functionality of the AI, but problems in mitigating the issues caused when AI goes wrong. In this video for OODA members we provide a succinct introduction to key issues of AI in a way that will help you optimize…
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I don’t consider myself a futurist, but thinking about the future has been an essential component of my career and supports a broad range of strategic thinking in the domains of cyber and geopolitical risk, threat intelligence, and business planning. I’ve taken to calling these future brainstorming mental models “living in the future” and the…
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The top stories on OODA Loop provide good insight into what issues will be top of mind for executives and experts going into 2020. Here are the 20 most popular posts of the year.
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OODA CEO Matt Devost provides his top 10 security, technology, and business books for 2019. Matt reads over 100 books per year and this top 10 compilation is typically one of our most popular posts of the year. A trusted curation of essential books that can inform your decision loop and enable intelligent actions.
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OODA is pleased to announce that our Future Proof conference will be held on March 19, 2020 in Tysons Corner, Virginia. The Future Proof conference brings together the hackers, thinkers, strategists, disruptors, leaders, technologists, and creators with one foot in the future to discuss the most pressing issues of the day and provide insight into…
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This post is based on an interview with Dan Wachtler. It is part of our series of interviews of OODA Network members. Our objective with these interviews is to provide actionable information of interest to the community, including insights that can help with your own career progression. We also really like highlighting some of the…
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My background is in operational intelligence. I started my career as a naval intelligence officer working the dynamic problems of operational fleets in real-world, ours-vs-theirs situations. I later worked joint and allied military intelligence, but still in that operational side of the field, trying to figure out what might happen in chaotic situations where adversaries…
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OODA Experts provide their perspective on the RSA 2019 conference including a list of 30+ companies to watch.
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“The cybersecurity industry is currently enamored with concepts of autonomous defense, including elements of machine learning, behavioral analytics, and artificial intelligence—and rightly so. Programed to be able to study all vulnerabilities in the public domain, autonomous bots (autbots)—not to be confused with bots simply conducting repetitive tasks like guessing default passwords as programmed—could take what…
OODA Loop Analysis
The Executive’s Guide To Artificial Intelligence: What you need to know about what really works and what comes next – The megatrend of Artificial Intelligence is transforming the algorithms of business in exciting ways.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Testifies on “Oversight of A.I.: Rules for Artificial Intelligence” – Fast on the heels of his May 4th meeting at the White House with Vice President Kamala Harris and other top administration officials to discuss responsible AI innovation, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman
NIST Makes Available the Voluntary Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework (AI RMF 1.0) and the AI RMF Playbook – NIST’s Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework (AI RMF 1.0) “The U.S. Department of Commerce’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) has released its Artificial Intelligence
Using Artificial Intelligence For Competitive Advantage in Business – AI technologies are making continuous advances in domains like industrial robotics, logistics, speech recognition and translation, banking, medicine and advanced scientific research. But in almost every case, the cutting edge AI that drives the advances drops from attention, becoming almost invisible when it becomes part of the overall system.
The Future of Enterprise Artificial Intelligence – A short overview of the business aspects of AI focused on informing decisions including due diligence.
Opportunities for Advantage: Measuring Trends in Artificial Intelligence – A summary post of major trends.
AI Security: Four Things to Focus on Right Now – This is the only security framework we have seen that helps prevent AI issues before they develop
When Artificial Intelligence Goes Wrong – By studying issues we can help mitigate them
The Future of AI Policy is Largely Unwritten – Congressman Will Hurd provides insight on the emerging technologies of AI and Machine Learning.
AI Will Test American Values In The Battlefield – How will military leaders deal with AI that may treat troops as expendable assets to win the “game”.
The AI Capabilities DoD Says They Need The Most – Savvy businesses will pay attention to what this major customer wants.
What Leaders Need to Know About the State of Natural Language Processing – Major improvements in the ability of computers to understand what humans write, say and search are being fielded. These improvements are significant, and will end up changing just about every industry in the world. But at this point they are getting little notice outside a narrow segment of experts.
NATO and US DoD AI Strategies Align with over 80 International Declarations on AI Ethics – NATO’s release in October of its first-ever strategy for artificial intelligence is primarily concerned with the impact AI will have on the NATO core commitments of collective defense, crisis management, and cooperative security. Worth a deeper dive is a framework within the overall NATO AI Strategy, which mirrors that of the DoD Joint Artificial Intelligence Center’s (JAIC) efforts to establish norms around AI: “NATO establishes standards of responsible use of AI technologies, in accordance with international law and NATO’s values.” At the center of the NATO AI strategy are the following six principles: Lawfulness, Responsibility and Accountability, Explainability and Traceability, Reliability, Governability, and Bias Mitigation.”
“AI Accidents” framework from the Georgetown University CSET – The Center for Security and Emerging Technology) (CSET) in a July 2021 policy brief, “AI Accidents: An Emerging Threat – What Could Happen and What to Do,” makes a noteworthy contribution to current efforts by governmental entities, industry, AI think tanks and academia to “name and frame” the critical issues surrounding AI risk probability and impact. For the current enterprise, as we pointed out as early as 2019 in Securing AI – Four Areas to Focus on Right Now, the fact still remains that “having a robust AI security strategy is a precursor that positions the enterprise to address these critical AI issues.” In addition, enterprises which have adopted and deployed AI systems also need to commit to the systematic logging and analysis of AI-related accidents and incidents.
DHS Science and Technology Directorate (S&T) releases Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) Strategic Plan Amidst Flurry of USG-wide AI/ML RFIs – An artificial intelligence security strategy (see “Securing AI – Four Areas to Focus on Right Now”) should be the cornerstone of any AI and machine learning (ML) efforts within your enterprise. We also recently outlined the need for enterprises to further operationalize the logging and analysis of artificial intelligence (AI) related accidents and incidents based on an “AI Accidents” framework from the Georgetown University CSET. The best analysis is a sophisticated body of work on AI-related issues of morality, ethics, fairness, explainable and interpretable AI, bias, privacy, adversarial behaviors, trust, fairness, evaluation, testing and compliance.
AI-Based Ambient Intelligence Innovation in Healthcare and the Future of Public Safety – Disaster conditions will clearly be more impactful and more frequent due to the impact of climate change. The domestic terrorism threat stateside is becoming a constant, with the impact and frequency of growing domestic U.S. political instability and public safety incidents to be determined. We will need systems that are monitoring these temporal, ephemeral ecosystems and providing insights and recommendations for real-time decision-making support and situational awareness analysis. What can AI-Based Ambient Intelligence Innovation in Healthcare teach us?
The Future of War, Information, AI Systems and Intelligence Analysis – The U.S. is in a struggle to maintain its dominance in air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace over countries with capabilities increasingly on par in all domains with that of the U.S. In addition, information (in all its forms) is the center of gravity of a broad set of challenges faced by the United States. Information, then, is the clear strategic vector of value creation for the emergence of applied technologies to enable operational innovation. For the U.S., the desired outcome is continued dominance for another American Century. For the Chinese, military capabilities usher in the dawn of a new technological superiority and, as a result, geopolitical and military dominance on the world stage.
Katharina McFarland on Winning in the Age of Artificial Intelligence – Katharina McFarland has led change in a wide array of national security domains including Space, Missile Defense, Acquisition and Nuclear Posture. She is a former Assistant Secretary of Defense
