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Analysis

  • Hope for Oversight?

    In another story that may not make the White House happy, The New York Times on Sunday reported that it had obtained what it calls “a sharply worded letter” by a top Republican sent to President Bush on May 18, which charged that the administration “might have violated the law by failing to inform Congress…

  • Tasting Our Own Ice Cream (Updates)

    A friend from the biz used to say that after a few days out of the office he would delete any emails or other messages older than 72 hours old; odds are that whatever was being discussed prior to that point was likely to have been overtaken-by-events, so why bother wasting time trying to catch…

  • “Top” must mean something different there

    The FBI’s National Security Branch, which leads the war on terrorism, is on its sixth director in four years. [former chief Gary] Bald lasted just eight months. Chris Swicker, the head of the bureau’s law enforcement division, is also leaving – after just three months. The head of the FBI lab and its cyber-crime chief…

  • Definately Not Serious

    A government consultant, using computer programs easily found on the Internet, managed to crack the FBI’s classified computer system and gain the passwords of 38,000 employees, including that of FBI Director Robert S. Mueller III. The break-ins, which occurred four times in 2004, gave the consultant access to records in the Witness Protection Program and…

  • Developing a Group Strategic Threat and Modus Operandi Profile Analytical Framework

    This paper will outline the conceptual contours of developing a Group Strategic Threat and Modus Operandi Profile (GSTMOP) Analytical Framework as an element of John P. Sullivan’s IPO and Transaction Analysis Cycle counterterrorism intelligence frameworks. It will examine the constellations of group variables such as group psychologies, group behaviors and structures, ideology, available weaponry and…

  • The iBigot List

    Teri O’Brien at The American Thinker considers the impact that Apple-like compartmentalization would have on . . . well . . . the IC: So, I think [DNI Negroponte] should resign, and President Bush should give [his] gig to Apple CEO Steve Jobs. To understand why, check out the article in this morning’s Wall Street…

  • Ever Forward

    Charlie is on the job: Years without an intelligence strategy to secure U.S. borders resulted in uncoordinated and sometimes incomplete threat information about immigrants, a top counterterrorism official said Wednesday. Only over the past year has the Bush administration begun to develop plans to analyze border security gaps with information gleaned from all the intelligence…

  • Discarding an Important Tool

    Given a chance to cut back on future leaks, the Senate balks: The U.S. Senate has refused to protect whistleblowers in intelligence agencies. The Senate last week passed a markedly different version of whistleblower protection legislation than the U.S. House of Representatives had previously approved, resulting in a call by one congressman for the creation…

  • Intelligence Reporting: Is “Good Enough” Good Enough?

    To say that I am on the anti-secrets-publication bandwagon would be something of an understatement, but while listening to various editors and reporters on the radio talking about the rightness or wrongness of revealing classified material during a time of war (which is a debatable point in some circles), a couple of questions occurred to…

  • Haste Makes Waste

    Nearly five years after the Sept. 11 attacks, the Departments of Justice and Homeland Security continue to clash over who is in charge of coordinating and vetting information on terrorism. As a result, state and local authorities continue to get conflicting or incomplete information – sometimes none at all – on threats inside the United…


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    OODAcon 2025

    We are in the planning stages of OODAcon 2025, which will be held 29 October 2025 at the Hyatt Regency Reston. For an overview of last year’s OODAcon see: OODAcon 2024 Welcome to OODAcon 2025

  • OODAcon 2023

    OODAcon 2023

    OODAcon 2023 October 25th – Reston, VA The anticipation of disruptive technologies has allure for those of us trying to develop informed strategies about the future, but what if those disruptive technologies already exist today? Our theme for this year’s OODAcon is FUTURE NOW as we focus on the technologies, ideas, and risks that exist right now…

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    OODAcon 2024

    The conference will feature an impressive lineup of speakers—pioneers who are steering the direction of their respective fields towards a unified vision of the future. OODAcon 2024 is your arena to witness, participate, and contribute to the dialogue that drives innovation forward. Join us in hacking the future, together, as we navigate the complexities of…