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Analysis

  • An Army of Analysts (Scroll for Update)

    My latest article on the document issue is up at the Daily Standard. As mentioned in the text the Blog swarm on GITMO detainee docs is being run by Captain’s Quarters. Head here if you are not familiar with An Army of Davids or Wisdom of Crowds as mentioned in the text. Another (old school)…

  • Pathetic

    CNSNews reminds us of how great it is to work at NGIC: Where the intel is doctored, your keystrokes logged, and the phones are tapped. A former federal employee who says intelligence data was deliberately falsified over several years in order to justify the purchase of certain U.S. military weapons systems, will be questioned by…

  • I got your documents . . .

    . . . right here.

  • RELIDO: Why Bother?

    Secrecy News (a product of the Dread Pirate Aftergood) recently reported on a new marking for classified material: In an effort to improve the sharing of intelligence information, the Director of National Intelligence last year authorized the use of a new marking for intelligence documents: RELIDO, or Releasable by Information Disclosure Official. RELIDO is intended…

  • Two Books You’d Better Have

    First, to paraphrase an old drill sergeant: If you are not reading John Robb’s blog you’re wrong. His article in Fast Company makes a strong case for a future world where asymmetry plays an increasingly important role in both defense and offense from the national to the personal level. I don’t know about you but…

  • My New HLS-Themed TV Show

    Serious or Not Serious. I wonder if Michael Brown is available to host?

  • Pay Attention

    This will be on the test: With little fanfare the United States has revised its assessment of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Officials said the U.S. intelligence community has determined that Iran has become capable of enriching uranium and completing the nuclear fuel cycle. In 2005, a CIA study assessed that Iran would require five to…

  • Messenger vs. Message (Update)

    Update: Much, much more at Terrorism Unveiled. The CT Blog doesn’t take kindly to too much coverage of Mohammed Reza Taheri-azar and his lead-footed technique for eliminating tar-heels. Claiming it trivializes “real” terrorism it is suggested that students of the problem would be better served studying our own home-grown variety terrorists rather than an ignorant…

  • Priorities in Order

    When it uncovers terrorists or uncomfortable connections close to home it is a bad thing, when it might help re-election it is a good thing.

  • What? Us Worry?

    This isn’t to say that there is a credibility problem here, but if things hold true to form, the script for this debacle has already been written. I think we all wish them well, but we a lesson can be learned from a recent comment about another kind of software deployment. In fact, following such…


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  • OODAcon 2025

    OODAcon 2025

    We are in the planning stages of OODAcon 2025, which will be held 29 October 2025 at the Hyatt Regency Reston. For an overview of last year’s OODAcon see: OODAcon 2024 Welcome to OODAcon 2025

  • OODAcon 2023

    OODAcon 2023

    OODAcon 2023 October 25th – Reston, VA The anticipation of disruptive technologies has allure for those of us trying to develop informed strategies about the future, but what if those disruptive technologies already exist today? Our theme for this year’s OODAcon is FUTURE NOW as we focus on the technologies, ideas, and risks that exist right now…

  • OODAcon 2024

    OODAcon 2024

    The conference will feature an impressive lineup of speakers—pioneers who are steering the direction of their respective fields towards a unified vision of the future. OODAcon 2024 is your arena to witness, participate, and contribute to the dialogue that drives innovation forward. Join us in hacking the future, together, as we navigate the complexities of…